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Game Recap
TBL7
Final/OTThu, Oct 14, 2021Every game that night
DET6

TBL beat DET 7-6 in overtime, with the chances close: 4.59 expected goals to 3.93. TBL outshot DET 48 to 26. T. Bertuzzi scored 4 for DET. A. Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TBL03317
DET13206
  1. 1st 14:00DETD. Larkin0.69 xG
  2. 2nd 0:18DETT. Bertuzzi0.14 xG
  3. 2nd 7:52DETT. Bertuzzi0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 8:08TBLO. Palat0.10 xG
  5. 2nd 12:29DETT. BertuzziPP0.24 xG
  6. 2nd 15:19TBLS. StamkosPP0.12 xG
  7. 2nd 16:31TBLS. StamkosPP0.12 xG
  8. 3rd 4:35DETT. Bertuzzi0.15 xG
  9. 3rd 7:10DETV. Namestnikov0.21 xG
  10. 3rd 13:43TBLR. Colton0.15 xG
  11. 3rd 16:25TBLN. KucherovPP0.13 xG
  12. 3rd 17:41TBLA. Killorn0.06 xG
  13. OT 2:43TBLO. Palat0.15 xG

Team Stats

TBLDET
48Shots on goal26
4.59Expected goals3.93
68Shot attempts44
295v5 shots on goal16
3/7Power play1/5
13Hits16
10Blocked shots12
20Penalty minutes26
3Giveaways7
5Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 4.59 xGDET 3.93 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTDET goal, 14:00DET goal, 0:18DET goal, 7:52TBL goal, 8:08DET goal, 12:29TBL goal, 15:19TBL goal, 16:31DET goal, 4:35DET goal, 7:10TBL goal, 13:43TBL goal, 16:25TBL goal, 17:41TBL goal, 2:43

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL47 on goal, 7 scored
DET26 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW134801+1024:437:06
S. StamkosC2135110018:146:39
O. PalatLW2024000215:402:20
B. PointC011200+2022:276:07
A. KillornLW101300-1021:456:28
A. CirelliC011111-1218:592:34
R. ColtonC101310-1011:030:04
P. BellemareLW000100+1012:090:25
P. MaroonLW000200-1211:512:27
C. PerryRW000301-1010:522:45
M. JosephRW000220027:340:36
T. RaddyshRW000000+147:310:15
V. HedmanD0445200025:516:16
M. SergachevD022312-3221:563:02
E. CernakD011341+1020:590:25
R. McDonaghD0002130221:410:33
J. RuttaD000100-2214:350:00
A. SustrD000000-128:060:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy26206.76962:07Win
B. Elliott000–0:00

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. BertuzziLW404421+3221:434:36
R. FabbriC0222000219:305:13
L. RaymondLW011100+1016:274:36
F. ZadinaRW011200-1216:114:06
A. ErneLW0111220016:033:33
M. RasmussenC0111130015:270:01
V. NamestnikovC101100+1014:140:00
D. LarkinC101311+31011:393:22
P. SuterC000400-1018:364:11
S. GagnerC000300-1211:120:44
M. StephensC000000-1010:010:00
G. SmithRW000010065:340:00
N. LeddyD022021+2022:433:00
M. SeiderD022030+1220:215:26
D. DeKeyserD011214-2019:000:05
G. LindstromD011010+1016:080:21
F. HronekD0000200025:093:52
M. StaalD0002000014:190:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Nedeljkovic48417.85462:43OT loss
T. Greiss000–0:00