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Game Recap
TBL1
FinalTue, Oct 11, 2022Every game that night
NYR3

NYR beat TBL 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 5.28 expected goals to 2.73. NYR outshot TBL 39 to 26. M. Zibanejad led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). I. Shesterkin stopped 25 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL0101
NYR0123
  1. 2nd 3:25NYRM. ZibanejadSH0.15 xG
  2. 2nd 9:09TBLS. StamkosPP0.16 xG
  3. 3rd 5:11NYRM. ZibanejadPP0.08 xG
  4. 3rd 11:00NYRB. Goodrow0.04 xG

Team Stats

TBLNYR
26Shots on goal39
2.73Expected goals5.28
45Shot attempts69
155v5 shots on goal20
1/6Power play1/4
19Hits24
22Blocked shots12
8Penalty minutes12
13Giveaways17
8Takeaways19

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 2.73 xGNYR 5.28 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdNYR goal, 3:25TBL goal, 9:09NYR goal, 5:11NYR goal, 11:00

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL25 on goal, 1 scored
NYR38 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW011302-1023:537:11
B. PointC0113210023:367:05
S. StamkosC101513-1223:317:07
A. KillornLW000000-1021:467:03
N. PaulLW000212-2021:352:55
C. PerryRW000410-1014:194:05
B. HagelLW000103-1013:240:00
P. BellemareLW0000100010:340:00
R. ColtonC0001100210:122:47
V. NamestnikovC000010029:252:52
P. MaroonLW000120009:220:00
C. KoepkeLW000110007:510:00
V. HedmanD0003200025:436:00
M. SergachevD000007-2023:372:50
E. CernakD0000220219:020:02
C. FooteD0000120016:120:00
P. MyersD000230-1011:560:00
H. FleuryD000000009:540:03
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy39363.92357:56Loss
B. Elliott000–0:00

NYR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. ZibanejadC202900+1023:135:41
A. PanarinLW0111100019:525:41
C. KreiderLW0115120019:225:41
B. GoodrowC101310+1417:350:00
R. CarpenterC011020+129:220:00
V. TrocheckC0004000222:075:41
A. LafrenièreLW000440+1017:280:31
K. KakkoRW0000110013:370:31
F. ChytilC0002100212:350:31
J. VeseyLW0001100011:510:00
R. ReavesRW000030+106:220:00
V. KravtsovRW000000001:280:00
J. TroubaD011632+1025:490:54
K. MillerD011231+1223:130:08
R. LindgrenD011222+1018:180:00
A. FoxD000002+1021:425:18
Z. JonesD0000020013:310:23
B. SchneiderD0000100011:470:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Shesterkin26251.96259:41Win
J. Halak000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.