Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
TBL1
Final/OTThu, Nov 4, 2021Every game that night
TOR2

TOR beat TBL 2-1 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.04 expected goals to 3.14. TOR outshot TBL 34 to 25. M. Marner led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). J. Campbell stopped 24 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TBL10001
TOR00112
  1. 1st 13:16TBLP. Maroon0.08 xG
  2. 3rd 19:18TORJ. Tavares0.23 xG
  3. OT 2:43TORW. NylanderPP0.19 xG

Team Stats

TBLTOR
25Shots on goal34
3.14Expected goals4.04
48Shot attempts63
245v5 shots on goal25
0/1Power play1/3
20Hits13
19Blocked shots8
8Penalty minutes4
15Giveaways11
6Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.14 xGTOR 4.04 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTTBL goal, 13:16TOR goal, 19:18TOR goal, 2:43

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL25 on goal, 1 scored
TOR34 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. MaroonLW101120+1010:350:10
C. PerryRW011121+1010:171:00
A. CirelliC0002030021:080:52
B. PointC0003000019:151:00
A. KillornLW0002000018:491:00
P. BellemareLW0002200016:270:00
O. PalatLW000011-1016:041:00
S. StamkosC000412-1016:030:58
M. JosephRW0002110014:260:00
A. Barré-BouletC0000200013:560:58
T. RaddyshRW0000000012:140:00
R. ColtonC000100029:520:52
E. CernakD0110450023:530:00
V. HedmanD000102-1425:430:58
R. McDonaghD000031+1025:120:10
M. SergachevD000300-1222:411:02
J. RuttaD0002120015:460:00
C. FooteD000111+109:480:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy34322.94162:43OT loss
B. Elliott000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW022400+1025:273:15
A. MatthewsC022211+1024:253:13
J. TavaresC101522+1021:323:15
W. NylanderRW101400+1021:283:13
M. BuntingLW000310+1217:560:31
A. KerfootC0001110014:510:02
D. KampfC0001000212:400:00
O. KaseRW0003000012:140:00
P. EngvallLW0000000011:590:31
J. SpezzaC000200-1010:450:31
N. RitchieLW000100-108:250:31
W. SimmondsRW000420-108:130:00
M. RiellyD0000100025:351:29
J. MuzzinD000001-1020:340:00
T. BrodieD000020-1019:260:00
R. SandinD000310+1018:020:31
T. DermottD0000110017:400:02
T. LiljegrenD0001120016:070:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Campbell25241.96061:19Win
P. Mrazek000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.