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Game Recap
TOR7
FinalSat, Jan 29, 2022Every game that night
DET4

TOR beat DET 7-4, and the chances backed it up: 4.61 expected goals to 3.75. M. Bunting scored three for TOR. P. Mrazek stopped 31 of 35.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR1157
DET1304
  1. 1st 1:15DETD. Larkin0.20 xG
  2. 1st 16:28TORP. Engvall0.09 xG
  3. 2nd 1:16DETV. Namestnikov0.08 xG
  4. 2nd 2:11DETT. Bertuzzi0.09 xG
  5. 2nd 12:07TORM. Bunting0.03 xG
  6. 2nd 15:54DETD. LarkinPP0.12 xG
  7. 3rd 9:28TORM. Bunting0.04 xG
  8. 3rd 11:58TORM. Bunting0.20 xG
  9. 3rd 17:09TORR. Sandin0.16 xG
  10. 3rd 18:46TORM. MarnerEN0.87 xG
  11. 3rd 19:49TORJ. TavaresEN0.60 xG

Team Stats

TORDET
37Shots on goal35
4.61Expected goals3.75
64Shot attempts52
335v5 shots on goal31
1/2Power play1/1
6Hits10
11Blocked shots14
2Penalty minutes6
2Giveaways8
2Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 4.61 xGDET 3.75 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdDET goal, 1:15TOR goal, 16:28DET goal, 1:16DET goal, 2:11TOR goal, 12:07DET goal, 15:54TOR goal, 9:28TOR goal, 11:58TOR goal, 17:09TOR goal, 18:46TOR goal, 19:49

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR37 on goal, 7 scored
DET33 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. BuntingLW303700+1017:270:34
A. MatthewsC0223000022:262:11
M. MarnerRW112510+1018:582:03
J. TavaresC112501+1016:121:26
A. KerfootC022012+1015:410:37
D. KampfC022000+2012:240:00
P. EngvallLW101500+1010:550:00
J. SpezzaC011111+1010:360:34
W. NylanderRW000000+1018:371:34
O. KaseRW000202-1013:440:26
I. MikheyevRW0001000012:440:26
W. SimmondsRW000100+109:180:00
M. RiellyD022200-1024:472:11
J. HollD022131+4021:450:00
R. SandinD101203+3021:180:26
T. BrodieD0001010022:540:37
T. LiljegrenD0001000013:560:00
T. DermottD0000000213:170:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Mrazek35314.88659:51Win
J. Campbell000–0:00

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. LarkinC213510-1019:411:10
R. FabbriC0223100216:431:10
V. NamestnikovC112200+1215:300:00
L. RaymondLW011400-1019:001:10
T. BertuzziLW101303-1018:291:10
P. SuterC0007000015:320:00
A. ErneLW000230-3214:170:00
F. ZadinaRW000100-3013:420:00
M. RasmussenC000100-2013:370:00
J. VelenoC0000010013:110:00
S. GagnerC0000000011:540:00
G. SmithRW000000006:330:00
M. SeiderD022112+1023:421:10
N. LeddyD000003-4020:520:00
F. HronekD000102-2020:420:00
J. OesterleD000312+1018:280:00
M. StaalD0002100018:040:00
G. LindstromD000021-2016:240:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Nedeljkovic35305.85759:02Loss
C. Pickard000–0:00