Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
TOR10
FinalSat, Feb 26, 2022Every game that night
DET7

TOR beat DET 10-7, and the chances backed it up: 3.55 expected goals to 1.71. M. Marner scored 4 for TOR. P. Mrazek stopped 6 of 8.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR34310
DET1157
  1. 1st 3:52TORW. Nylander0.00 xG
  2. 1st 6:18TORM. Bunting0.33 xG
  3. 1st 10:33DETL. Raymond0.16 xG
  4. 1st 11:06TORD. Kampf0.06 xG
  5. 2nd 0:33TORM. Marner0.02 xG
  6. 2nd 4:13TORM. Marner0.11 xG
  7. 2nd 9:19TORM. Marner0.07 xG
  8. 2nd 13:47DETS. Gagner0.00 xG
  9. 2nd 18:38TORA. Matthews0.12 xG
  10. 3rd 0:35DETF. Hronek0.01 xG
  11. 3rd 2:09DETC. Rowney0.03 xG
  12. 3rd 4:42DETJ. Veleno0.01 xG
  13. 3rd 5:21DETM. Rasmussen0.09 xG
  14. 3rd 7:04TORI. Mikheyev0.26 xG
  15. 3rd 7:45DETL. Raymond0.12 xG
  16. 3rd 10:33TORO. KaseSH0.23 xG
  17. 3rd 15:41TORM. Marner0.18 xG

Team Stats

TORDET
39Shots on goal33
3.55Expected goals1.71
61Shot attempts50
385v5 shots on goal30
0/0Power play0/3
9Hits14
7Blocked shots16
6Penalty minutes0
2Giveaways4
3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 3.55 xGDET 1.71 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdTOR goal, 3:52TOR goal, 6:18DET goal, 10:33TOR goal, 11:06TOR goal, 0:33TOR goal, 4:13TOR goal, 9:19DET goal, 13:47TOR goal, 18:38DET goal, 0:35DET goal, 2:09DET goal, 4:42DET goal, 5:21TOR goal, 7:04DET goal, 7:45TOR goal, 10:33TOR goal, 15:41

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR39 on goal, 10 scored
DET33 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW426600+3215:070:00
M. BuntingLW145400+3013:390:00
A. MatthewsC134401+3014:330:00
I. MikheyevRW1123000018:370:00
A. KerfootC0221020017:370:00
O. KaseRW112501+1017:030:00
D. KampfC1121010017:020:00
W. NylanderRW1012010016:010:00
J. TavaresC0003000216:030:00
J. SpezzaC0000000010:110:00
N. RobertsonLW000310-129:190:00
W. SimmondsRW000000-108:480:00
J. HollD033010+3020:360:00
T. BrodieD011000+4022:340:00
I. LyubushkinD011140+1017:420:00
M. RiellyD000400-2020:280:00
T. LiljegrenD000211-2019:220:00
R. SandinD000020+2019:180:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Campbell25205.80044:42
P. Mrazek862.75015:18Win

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
L. RaymondLW213210-1019:073:14
J. VelenoC112121+1013:180:00
D. LarkinC011320-2020:353:14
A. ErneLW011411-1012:572:46
C. RowneyC1012010011:400:02
M. RasmussenC101440+1011:400:00
S. GagnerC101100-1010:450:02
F. ZadinaRW0003000018:492:44
T. BertuzziLW000115-4018:293:14
R. FabbriC000020-2017:473:14
P. SuterC000001-2016:022:44
V. NamestnikovC000100+1012:260:00
F. HronekD134401+1018:312:44
M. SeiderD022302-1025:113:14
M. StaalD022110+1015:180:00
D. DeKeyserD011003-3017:030:02
N. LeddyD0002010024:042:44
G. LindstromD000100-3016:180:02
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Nedeljkovic25196.76031:06Loss
T. Greiss14104.71428:54