Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
TOR3
FinalSun, May 8, 2022PlayoffsEvery game that night
TBL7

TBL beat TOR 7-3, and the chances backed it up: 5.40 expected goals to 2.35. R. Colton led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR0033
TBL3227
  1. 1st 1:00TBLS. Stamkos0.05 xG
  2. 1st 5:20TBLP. Bellemare0.21 xG
  3. 1st 7:58TBLP. Maroon0.05 xG
  4. 2nd 3:17TBLR. Colton0.12 xG
  5. 2nd 5:25TBLC. PerryPP0.17 xG
  6. 3rd 2:27TORW. NylanderPP0.10 xG
  7. 3rd 12:01TORW. Nylander0.02 xG
  8. 3rd 14:40TBLO. PalatEN0.70 xG
  9. 3rd 15:41TORJ. Muzzin0.01 xG
  10. 3rd 17:44TBLR. ColtonEN0.84 xG

Team Stats

TORTBL
25Shots on goal28
2.35Expected goals5.40
40Shot attempts61
195v5 shots on goal16
1/3Power play1/8
40Hits32
21Blocked shots8
30Penalty minutes22
0Giveaways5
3Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 2.35 xGTBL 5.40 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdTBL goal, 1:00TBL goal, 5:20TBL goal, 7:58TBL goal, 3:17TBL goal, 5:25TOR goal, 2:27TOR goal, 12:01TBL goal, 14:40TOR goal, 15:41TBL goal, 17:44

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR24 on goal, 3 scored
TBL28 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
W. NylanderRW202310-1016:381:17
A. MatthewsC011121-3019:031:52
J. TavaresC011141-2213:501:13
C. BlackwellC011040-208:150:00
M. MarnerRW000102-3018:481:15
D. KampfC000410+1216:100:00
I. MikheyevRW000240-2215:410:38
P. EngvallLW000130-11213:210:04
O. KaseRW0003020612:020:49
A. KerfootC000221-1011:360:22
J. SpezzaC000000-2211:331:25
M. BuntingLW000010-1210:111:08
J. MuzzinD101121+1021:390:37
T. BrodieD011025+1221:210:39
M. RiellyD011211-4020:361:25
M. GiordanoD000303-1019:560:56
J. HollD000153-1017:250:00
I. LyubushkinD000081-2014:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Campbell16115.68826:49Loss
E. Kallgren101001.00030:46

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW022110+1218:198:13
R. ColtonC202550+2016:092:22
B. HagelLW022011+21014:520:23
B. PointC011420+1021:277:38
S. StamkosC101320+1017:208:46
O. PalatLW101210+2012:071:18
C. PerryRW1011110011:563:47
P. BellemareLW1012100010:480:00
P. MaroonLW101351+109:120:00
A. KillornLW000000+1018:057:09
N. PaulLW000110+2217:192:30
A. CirelliC0000200013:020:41
V. HedmanD022210+4225:036:48
R. McDonaghD011132+2219:560:06
M. SergachevD0110110219:062:32
C. FooteD0111110012:140:00
E. CernakD000140+2219:180:32
Z. BogosianD0001010013:410:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy25223.88060:00Win
B. Elliott000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamNick Paul TOR First game back in Tampa, his team until May 20261 SOG
  • Old teamIlya Mikheyev TBL Faces TOR, his team until May 20222 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.