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Game Recap
TOR5
FinalMon, Feb 28, 2022Every game that night
WSH3

TOR beat WSH 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.71 expected goals to 2.63. J. Carlson led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). P. Mrazek stopped 30 of 33.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR3025
WSH1113
  1. 1st 2:35TORM. Bunting0.17 xG
  2. 1st 16:23WSHC. Sheary0.07 xG
  3. 1st 18:49TORW. Nylander0.20 xG
  4. 1st 19:58TORJ. Holl0.22 xG
  5. 2nd 10:11WSHT. WilsonPP0.09 xG
  6. 3rd 1:44WSHT. WilsonSH0.09 xG
  7. 3rd 16:37TORR. Sandin0.13 xG
  8. 3rd 18:59TORP. EngvallEN0.95 xG

Team Stats

TORWSH
28Shots on goal33
3.71Expected goals2.63
61Shot attempts58
215v5 shots on goal21
0/4Power play1/3
23Hits39
13Blocked shots16
8Penalty minutes10
4Giveaways11
9Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 3.71 xGWSH 2.63 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdTOR goal, 2:35WSH goal, 16:23TOR goal, 18:49TOR goal, 19:58WSH goal, 10:11WSH goal, 1:44TOR goal, 16:37TOR goal, 18:59

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR27 on goal, 5 scored
WSH33 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW022123+1021:294:09
J. TavaresC0221110017:364:09
I. MikheyevRW011610+1018:313:34
M. BuntingLW101231+2418:233:29
W. NylanderRW101200-1017:083:56
A. KerfootC0111020015:200:00
P. EngvallLW101320+1211:440:00
A. MatthewsC000051+2019:294:21
D. KampfC000200+1015:270:05
W. SimmondsRW0001300210:204:04
J. SpezzaC000000009:113:51
N. RobertsonLW000000005:280:00
J. HollD112302+2020:460:22
R. SandinD1122100015:053:29
M. RiellyD011300+2024:354:18
T. BrodieD000101+1021:310:13
T. LiljegrenD000011+1015:590:00
I. LyubushkinD000041+1014:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Mrazek33303.90960:00Win
J. Campbell000–0:00

WSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. WilsonRW202740-1018:441:43
A. OvechkinLW011412-4020:165:29
N. BackstromC0111110016:264:00
C. ShearyLW101241+1013:341:37
E. KuznetsovC000120-4420:404:00
T. OshieRW000140-1016:273:54
C. HagelinLW0001200016:240:00
N. DowdC0003300014:480:00
L. EllerC0000220413:131:37
G. HathawayRW0003610012:090:00
J. SnivelyC000100-108:230:00
C. McMichaelLW000011-106:570:00
J. CarlsonD033221-1025:445:07
M. FehérváryD011222-2020:030:00
N. JensenD000012-1020:010:00
D. OrlovD0002210018:320:30
T. van RiemsdykD0003110216:340:08
M. KempnyD000011-1011:590:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov1073.70020:00
V. Vanecek17161.94138:45Loss