Game Recap: VAN 5, BOS 4 (SO), December 20, 2025

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Game Recap

VAN5

Final/SOSat, Dec 20, 2025Every game that night

BOS4

VAN beat BOS 5-4 in a shootout despite fewer good chances: 1.97 expected goals to 4.62. BOS outshot VAN 43 to 23. L. Karlsson led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). H. Lindholm had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.6. K. Lankinen stopped 39 of 43.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
VAN	1	1	2	1	5
BOS	1	2	1	0	4

1st 8:23BOSM. GeekiePP0.06 xG
1st 19:45VANM. Sasson0.19 xG
2nd 4:22VANL. KarlssonPP0.17 xG
2nd 9:41BOSP. Zacha0.32 xG
2nd 12:05BOST. Jeannot0.11 xG
3rd 3:53VANL. Karlsson0.05 xG
3rd 7:34VANL. Ohgren0.10 xG
3rd 16:16BOSA. Peeke0.01 xG

Team Stats

VANBOS

23Shots on goal43

1.97Expected goals4.62

47Shot attempts70

155v5 shots on goal30

1/4Power play1/3

29Hits20

15Blocked shots11

8Penalty minutes10

16Giveaways16

5Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

VAN 1.97 xGBOS 4.62 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

VAN23 on goal, 4 scored

BOS39 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Karlsson	C	2	1	3	3	3	1	+1	0	13:01	3:08
L. Ohgren	LW	1	1	2	3	3	0	+2	0	12:21	0:00
M. Rossi	C	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	23:53	3:44
E. Kane	LW	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	2	19:39	3:30
J. DeBrusk	LW	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	0	17:58	3:18
M. Sasson	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	0	10:14	0:00
B. Boeser	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	19:22	3:36
K. Sherwood	LW	0	0	0	1	5	2	0	0	18:59	2:52
C. Garland	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	15:46	3:31
D. Kampf	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	2	14:16	0:03
D. O'Connor	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	10:30	0:04
A. Räty	C	0	0	0	1	8	0	-1	0	9:48	0:00
F. Hronek	D	0	1	1	4	2	0	+1	0	27:41	3:13
M. Pettersson	D	0	1	1	1	0	3	+1	2	22:00	0:30
Z. Buium	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	-1	0	21:18	3:50
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	-3	2	19:33	0:20
T. Willander	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+2	0	17:06	2:41
E. Pettersson	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	14:46	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
K. Lankinen	43	39	4	.907	65:00	Win
T. Demko	0	0	0	–	0:00

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Geekie	C	1	1	2	4	2	0	+1	0	18:39	3:08
E. Lindholm	C	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	0	20:29	3:01
P. Zacha	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	18:35	3:14
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	16:45	1:38
F. Minten	C	0	1	1	1	1	2	-1	0	15:42	0:10
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	15:23	1:25
T. Jeannot	LW	1	0	1	1	3	1	-1	0	14:48	0:10
M. Kastelic	C	0	1	1	4	4	2	-1	0	14:28	0:10
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	21:23	3:50
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	11:12	0:00
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	2	9:28	1:31
J. Viel	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	7:22	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	0	1	1	4	0	1	-1	2	24:59	3:16
N. Zadorov	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	+1	0	24:17	0:10
A. Peeke	D	1	0	1	4	3	1	-1	2	22:17	0:00
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	6	0	1	-1	2	23:51	1:33
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	4	1	0	+1	0	14:42	0:49
V. Soderstrom	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	11:36	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	23	19	4	.826	64:54	OT loss
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

VAN

Line 1J. DeBrusk12:43D. Kampf13:28E. Kane14:57

Line 2B. Boeser11:59M. Rossi15:48C. Garland9:00

Line 3D. O'Connor9:06A. Räty8:21K. Sherwood11:33

Line 4L. Ohgren12:21M. Sasson8:59L. Karlsson9:53

Pair 1M. Pettersson18:55F. Hronek17:47

Pair 2T. Myers16:02Z. Buium15:43

Pair 3T. Willander12:07E. Pettersson12:23

BOS

Line 1E. Lindholm14:23D. Pastrnak14:45C. Mittelstadt13:43

Line 2T. Jeannot12:30F. Minten11:36M. Kastelic11:44

Line 3M. Geekie12:16P. Zacha11:16M. Khusnutdinov12:12

Line 4S. Kuraly8:36M. Eyssimont7:57J. Viel7:22

Pair 1H. Lindholm17:18A. Peeke19:13

Pair 2N. Zadorov17:09C. McAvoy15:18

Pair 3V. Soderstrom11:31M. Lohrei12:16

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamElias Lindholm BOS Faces VAN, his team until May 20241 A, 3 SOG
Old teamJake DeBrusk VAN Faces BOS, his team until May 20241 A, 3 SOG
Old teamNikita Zadorov BOS Faces VAN, his team until May 20241 A, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	VAN 2.7, BOS 3.1	VAN 5, BOS 4
Total goals	5.8	9
Shots on goal	VAN 26.2, BOS 26.7	VAN 23, BOS 43
Win chance	BOS 56%	VAN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.5	4	1.30	0	41%	0
VAN C. Garland	2.5	1	0.65	0	23%	0
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.4	3	0.56	1	26%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.4	0	0.71	0	29%	0
VAN E. Kane	2.3	2	0.47	1	22%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.2	4	0.86	2	32%	1
VAN K. Sherwood	2.1	1	0.51	0	23%	0
BOS M. Eyssimont	2.1	2	0.34	0	13%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.7	3	0.67	1	22%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.7	4	0.61	1	12%	0
VAN M. Rossi	1.7	0	0.55	1	20%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.6	6	0.46	0	10%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	2	0.65	1	19%	1
BOS M. Kastelic	1.4	4	0.34	1	15%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.4	0	0.31	0	13%	0
VAN F. Hronek	1.4	4	0.47	1	6%	0
VAN L. Karlsson	1.3	3	0.29	3	12%	2
BOS N. Zadorov	1.3	2	0.36	1	10%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.3	1	0.35	1	16%	0
VAN D. O'Connor	1.3	0	0.29	0	13%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.2	4	0.25	1	5%	1
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	2	0.56	1	18%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.2	1	0.33	1	13%	1
VAN T. Myers	1.1	1	0.27	0	4%	0
VAN L. Ohgren	1.1	3	0.14	2	8%	1
VAN M. Sasson	1.1	1	0.23	1	12%	1
VAN A. Räty	1.1	1	0.34	0	13%	0
VAN D. Kampf	1.1	0	0.26	0	11%	0
VAN Z. Buium	0.9	1	0.39	0	7%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.9	0	0.28	1	12%	0
BOS J. Viel	0.9	0	0.12	0	8%	0
VAN M. Pettersson	0.9	1	0.30	1	4%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	0.9	4	0.34	0	6%	0
BOS V. Soderstrom	0.9	0	0.16	0	2%	0
VAN T. Willander	0.7	0	0.25	0	2%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	0.6	1	0.14	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.