Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
VAN6
CHI3
VAN beat CHI 6-3 despite fewer good chances: 2.04 expected goals to 3.16. B. Boeser led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). N. Tolopilo stopped 20 of 23.
Team Stats
VANCHI
22Shots on goal23
2.04Expected goals3.16
37Shot attempts54
165v5 shots on goal18
1/4Power play0/3
20Hits17
8Blocked shots4
8Penalty minutes10
13Giveaways13
6Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
VAN 2.04 xGCHI 3.16 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Boeser | RW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:13 | 3:13 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:46 | 3:02 |
| M. Sasson | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 12:07 | 0:16 |
| E. Pettersson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:51 | 3:06 |
| M. Rossi | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:23 | 2:55 |
| T. Blueger | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0:39 |
| D. O'Connor | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:40 | 1:31 |
| L. Karlsson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:30 | 1:57 |
| L. Ohgren | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0:09 |
| E. Kane | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:32 | 1:23 |
| N. Hoglander | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0:44 |
| A. Räty | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:53 | 0:00 |
| M. Pettersson | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 27:12 | 0:46 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:04 | 3:16 |
| T. Willander | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:43 | 2:12 |
| Z. Buium | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 2:21 |
| E. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 20:08 | 0:00 |
| V. Mancini | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Tolopilo | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 60:00 | Win |
| K. Lankinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Nazar | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:02 | 3:04 |
| I. Mikheyev | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0:07 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:45 | 3:04 |
| O. Moore | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 | 1:14 |
| R. Donato | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:49 | 1:25 |
| C. Bedard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 23:22 | 3:05 |
| R. Greene | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 | 1:19 |
| T. Teravainen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 18:37 | 2:50 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 | 1:29 |
| L. Slaggert | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 10:22 | 0:00 |
| A. Mangiapane | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 8:52 | 0:00 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:10 | 0:07 |
| A. Levshunov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 20:09 | 2:44 |
| S. Rinzel | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 18:24 | 1:42 |
| L. Crevier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 | 0:00 |
| M. Grzelcyk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:38 | 0:00 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:04 | 0:00 |
| E. Del Mastro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 7:42 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Soderblom | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 58:54 | Loss |
| C. Edwards | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
VAN
Line 2J. DeBrusk10:34E. Pettersson12:14N. Hoglander10:13
Line 3T. Blueger12:03M. Sasson10:46L. Karlsson10:07
Line 4E. Kane11:05D. O'Connor11:24A. Räty10:18
Pair 1M. Pettersson19:50T. Willander16:11
Pair 2F. Hronek17:59E. Pettersson17:13
Pair 3V. Mancini9:50Z. Buium10:22
CHI
Line 1C. Bedard17:22A. Burakovsky15:22R. Greene15:04
Line 2T. Teravainen12:07F. Nazar13:52R. Donato11:24
Line 3A. Mangiapane8:52L. Slaggert8:19O. Moore12:56
Line 4T. Bertuzzi11:27I. Mikheyev9:10
Pair 1A. Vlasic14:55L. Crevier13:09
Pair 3M. Grzelcyk13:47A. Levshunov12:58
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VAN 3.0, CHI 3.1 | VAN 6, CHI 3 |
| Total goals | 6.1 | 9 |
| Shots on goal | VAN 26.3, CHI 26.2 | VAN 22, CHI 23 |
| Win chance | CHI 52% | VAN won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI C. Bedard | 3.0 | 4 | 1.12 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| VAN E. Kane | 2.5 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 2.4 | 3 | 0.54 | 2 | 25% | 1 |
| CHI F. Nazar | 2.2 | 3 | 0.70 | 2 | 22% | 1 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 2.2 | 4 | 0.65 | 2 | 28% | 2 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 2.1 | 0 | 0.81 | 1 | 30% | 0 |
| CHI S. Rinzel | 2.0 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| CHI I. Mikheyev | 1.7 | 3 | 0.52 | 2 | 22% | 1 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 1.7 | 2 | 0.72 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| VAN L. Karlsson | 1.6 | 1 | 0.43 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| VAN D. O'Connor | 1.6 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| VAN L. Ohgren | 1.6 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| VAN M. Rossi | 1.6 | 0 | 0.57 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| CHI L. Crevier | 1.5 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.5 | 1 | 0.59 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN T. Blueger | 1.5 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 13% | 1 |
| CHI R. Donato | 1.4 | 1 | 0.51 | 1 | 20% | 1 |
| CHI T. Teravainen | 1.4 | 1 | 0.74 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| CHI A. Burakovsky | 1.4 | 0 | 0.56 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| CHI R. Greene | 1.4 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI A. Levshunov | 1.3 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN A. Räty | 1.2 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 1.2 | 1 | 0.32 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| VAN T. Willander | 1.1 | 1 | 0.40 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| VAN N. Hoglander | 1.1 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| CHI O. Moore | 1.1 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN M. Pettersson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.32 | 2 | 5% | 0 |
| VAN M. Sasson | 1.0 | 3 | 0.25 | 2 | 15% | 1 |
| CHI M. Grzelcyk | 1.0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI L. Slaggert | 1.0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 0.9 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 0.9 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN Z. Buium | 0.9 | 0 | 0.32 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| CHI A. Mangiapane | 0.9 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| CHI E. Mastro | 0.9 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| VAN V. Mancini | 0.7 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.