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Game Recap
VAN1
SEA5
SEA beat VAN 5-1, and the chances backed it up: 4.61 expected goals to 3.10. J. Eberle led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). J. Daccord stopped 27 of 28.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| SEA | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
- 1st 7:36SEAV. Dunn0.05 xG
- 1st 10:20SEAC. Stephenson0.10 xG
- 2nd 8:28VANL. Ohgren0.04 xG
- 2nd 13:47SEAJ. Eberle0.05 xG
- 3rd 11:56SEAM. BeniersPP0.37 xG
- 3rd 17:00SEAJ. EberleEN0.84 xG
Team Stats
VANSEA
28Shots on goal25
3.10Expected goals4.61
57Shot attempts49
235v5 shots on goal20
0/2Power play1/2
10Hits18
9Blocked shots8
16Penalty minutes6
18Giveaways9
7Takeaways2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
VAN 3.10 xGSEA 4.61 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Garland | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:27 | 1:46 |
| L. Ohgren | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0:00 |
| B. Boeser | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:53 | 2:12 |
| M. Rossi | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:14 | 2:14 |
| E. Kane | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 16:42 | 1:47 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 16:23 | 1:59 |
| T. Blueger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0:00 |
| L. Karlsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:22 | 1:47 |
| E. Pettersson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:20 | 1:15 |
| D. O'Connor | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12:42 | 1:00 |
| D. Kampf | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0:00 |
| N. Hoglander | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:06 | 0:00 |
| P. Joseph | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:26 | 0:00 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 23:59 | 2:06 |
| Z. Buium | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 21:50 | 1:54 |
| T. Willander | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 21:20 | 1:58 |
| M. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 20:31 | 0:02 |
| E. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 17:08 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lankinen | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 57:37 | Loss |
| N. Tolopilo | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Eberle | RW | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:59 | 1:16 |
| C. Stephenson | C | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:01 | 1:17 |
| M. Beniers | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:42 | 1:14 |
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:42 | 1:16 |
| J. Schwartz | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:33 | 0:54 |
| B. Meyers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:21 | 0:00 |
| S. Wright | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 0:56 |
| F. Gaudreau | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:19 | 0:00 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:12 | 0:53 |
| K. Kakko | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:59 | 0:54 |
| B. Catton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0:00 |
| J. Melanson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 | 0:00 |
| A. Larsson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 23:25 | 0:00 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:20 | 0:00 |
| V. Dunn | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:20 | 1:14 |
| B. Montour | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:56 | 0:56 |
| R. Evans | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:57 | 0:00 |
| C. Fleury | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Daccord | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 60:00 | Win |
| P. Grubauer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
VAN
Line 1E. Kane13:52J. DeBrusk12:22D. Kampf11:48
Line 2B. Boeser13:11M. Rossi12:33D. O'Connor11:42
Line 3T. Blueger13:11L. Ohgren12:13C. Garland12:43
Line 4L. Karlsson11:14N. Hoglander11:06E. Pettersson12:12
Pair 1M. Pettersson16:54T. Willander17:05
Pair 2F. Hronek19:03E. Pettersson16:35
SEA
Line 2J. Eberle12:30M. Beniers13:13J. McCann12:59
Line 3J. Schwartz11:33E. Tolvanen11:51C. Stephenson11:09
Line 4J. Melanson11:45B. Meyers11:52F. Gaudreau10:44
Pair 1J. Oleksiak18:30B. Montour20:21
Pair 2A. Larsson17:28V. Dunn15:10
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VAN 3.0, SEA 3.3 | VAN 1, SEA 5 |
| Total goals | 6.3 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | VAN 27.1, SEA 27.3 | VAN 28, SEA 25 |
| Win chance | SEA 55% | SEA won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA J. McCann | 2.6 | 0 | 0.92 | 1 | 32% | 0 |
| SEA B. Montour | 2.5 | 2 | 0.55 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| VAN E. Kane | 2.3 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 2.3 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 2.2 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| SEA J. Eberle | 2.0 | 3 | 0.74 | 3 | 25% | 2 |
| SEA V. Dunn | 2.0 | 2 | 0.65 | 1 | 14% | 1 |
| SEA J. Schwartz | 2.0 | 0 | 0.55 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| VAN C. Garland | 1.9 | 3 | 0.52 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.9 | 4 | 0.70 | 1 | 24% | 1 |
| SEA E. Tolvanen | 1.8 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| VAN L. Ohgren | 1.7 | 1 | 0.32 | 1 | 14% | 1 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 1.7 | 0 | 0.69 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| VAN L. Karlsson | 1.6 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| VAN M. Rossi | 1.6 | 2 | 0.56 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| VAN D. O'Connor | 1.6 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA S. Wright | 1.5 | 2 | 0.56 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.5 | 1 | 0.53 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN T. Blueger | 1.5 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| SEA K. Kakko | 1.3 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SEA B. Meyers | 1.3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| SEA C. Fleury | 1.2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.2 | 1 | 0.32 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.2 | 2 | 0.74 | 3 | 21% | 1 |
| SEA F. Gaudreau | 1.1 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| VAN T. Willander | 1.1 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN N. Hoglander | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| VAN D. Kampf | 1.0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SEA B. Catton | 1.0 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN M. Pettersson | 1.0 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| VAN Z. Buium | 0.9 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 0.9 | 1 | 0.22 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN P. Joseph | 0.9 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| SEA J. Melanson | 0.9 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 0.9 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 0.7 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.