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Game Recap
WPG6
BOS2
WPG beat BOS 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.36 expected goals to 2.75. M. Scheifele led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 28.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
- 1st 2:55WPGV. NamestnikovPP0.49 xG
- 1st 11:31WPGM. Scheifele0.07 xG
- 1st 15:34BOSB. MarchandPP0.03 xG
- 3rd 0:11BOSE. LindholmSH0.02 xG
- 3rd 0:35WPGM. ScheifelePP0.19 xG
- 3rd 1:17WPGN. Ehlers0.26 xG
- 3rd 5:57WPGP. Ford0.15 xG
- 3rd 19:23WPGK. ConnorEN0.79 xG
Team Stats
WPGBOS
28Shots on goal28
4.36Expected goals2.75
52Shot attempts66
205v5 shots on goal18
2/4Power play1/3
13Hits25
21Blocked shots10
6Penalty minutes18
14Giveaways17
6Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WPG 4.36 xGBOS 2.75 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scheifele | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 | 4:20 |
| N. Ehlers | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 | 4:17 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 15:58 | 1:54 |
| K. Connor | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:52 | 4:18 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:16 | 1:54 |
| C. Perfetti | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:05 | 1:58 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:27 | 1:52 |
| P. Ford | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:14 | 0:00 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 | 4:22 |
| M. Appleton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:34 | 0:00 |
| R. Kupari | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:14 | 0:00 |
| D. Gustafsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 10:44 | 0:00 |
| N. Pionk | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 24:35 | 2:31 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 22:45 | 3:47 |
| D. Samberg | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 0 | 21:18 | 0:00 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 13:07 | 0:00 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 0 | 19:06 | 0:00 |
| C. Miller | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hellebuyck | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 59:57 | Win |
| E. Comrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
BOS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lindholm | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:21 | 2:01 |
| P. Zacha | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 21:29 | 1:58 |
| D. Pastrnak | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 20:17 | 2:27 |
| B. Marchand | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 14 | 14:38 | 1:36 |
| M. Geekie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 19:24 | 1:32 |
| C. Coyle | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 | 1:07 |
| T. Frederic | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 0:06 |
| M. Poitras | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 1:04 |
| J. Brazeau | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:58 | 0:35 |
| J. Beecher | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0:37 |
| V. Lettieri | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0:37 |
| C. Koepke | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:29 | 0:37 |
| N. Zadorov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:49 | 0:06 |
| C. McAvoy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 21:41 | 2:14 |
| A. Peeke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0:43 |
| M. Lohrei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 19:38 | 1:40 |
| B. Carlo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:01 | 0:00 |
| P. Wotherspoon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0:37 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Korpisalo | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 56:02 | Loss |
| J. Swayman | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WPG 2.8, BOS 2.5 | WPG 6, BOS 2 |
| Total goals | 5.3 | 8 |
| Shots on goal | WPG 28.0, BOS 26.8 | WPG 28, BOS 28 |
| Win chance | WPG 55% | WPG won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 4.0 | 2 | 1.04 | 1 | 39% | 0 |
| WPG K. Connor | 3.0 | 5 | 0.96 | 1 | 34% | 1 |
| WPG N. Ehlers | 2.5 | 3 | 0.76 | 2 | 23% | 1 |
| BOS B. Marchand | 2.5 | 2 | 0.70 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 2.0 | 3 | 0.84 | 2 | 30% | 2 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 2.0 | 1 | 0.45 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| BOS M. Geekie | 2.0 | 3 | 0.52 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 1.9 | 2 | 0.66 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 1.8 | 1 | 0.71 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| BOS P. Zacha | 1.8 | 3 | 0.62 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.8 | 4 | 0.48 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 1.8 | 2 | 0.49 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.7 | 1 | 0.50 | 2 | 20% | 1 |
| WPG N. Pionk | 1.6 | 0 | 0.44 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| BOS C. Coyle | 1.5 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.5 | 2 | 0.33 | 1 | 14% | 0 |
| WPG M. Appleton | 1.5 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 1.4 | 2 | 0.27 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| BOS T. Frederic | 1.4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| WPG D. Samberg | 1.3 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS V. Lettieri | 1.3 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.2 | 3 | 0.44 | 2 | 15% | 1 |
| BOS J. Brazeau | 1.2 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| BOS A. Peeke | 1.1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS B. Carlo | 1.1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG C. Miller | 1.1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 1.1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| BOS M. Poitras | 1.1 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG R. Kupari | 1.1 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 1.0 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS P. Wotherspoon | 1.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 0.9 | 0 | 0.17 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG D. Gustafsson | 0.9 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| BOS C. Koepke | 0.9 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| BOS J. Beecher | 0.7 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.