Game Recap: WPG 4, CGY 3 (SO), November 15, 2025

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Game Recap

WPG4

Final/SOSat, Nov 15, 2025Every game that night

CGY3

WPG beat CGY 4-3 in a shootout, with the chances close: 2.66 expected goals to 2.89. CGY outshot WPG 34 to 23. M. Coronato led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 34.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
WPG	0	2	1	1	4
CGY	0	2	1	0	3

2nd 7:19WPGM. Scheifele0.05 xG
2nd 7:52CGYJ. Bean0.00 xG
2nd 8:25WPGT. Pearson0.16 xG
2nd 13:29CGYK. Bahl0.06 xG
3rd 1:20WPGC. PerfettiPP0.40 xG
3rd 18:46CGYM. CoronatoPP0.37 xG

Team Stats

WPGCGY

23Shots on goal34

2.66Expected goals2.89

67Shot attempts63

205v5 shots on goal27

1/1Power play1/3

21Hits27

15Blocked shots22

16Penalty minutes2

16Giveaways18

5Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WPG 2.66 xGCGY 2.89 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WPG23 on goal, 3 scored

CGY34 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WPG Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Connor	LW	0	2	2	5	2	0	+1	0	20:29	0:22
M. Scheifele	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	12	21:42	0:22
C. Perfetti	C	1	0	1	3	2	0	-1	0	13:58	0:22
T. Pearson	LW	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	10:02	0:00
G. Vilardi	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	18:41	0:22
A. Lowry	C	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	17:21	0:00
A. Iafallo	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:51	0:00
J. Toews	C	0	0	0	3	2	0	-1	0	15:22	0:00
N. Niederreiter	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:08	0:00
V. Namestnikov	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	2	13:56	0:00
G. Nyquist	RW	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	11:20	0:00
P. Ford	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	10:09	0:00
J. Morrissey	D	0	2	2	0	1	3	+1	0	24:50	0:22
L. Stanley	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	15:35	0:00
L. Schenn	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	11:49	0:00
N. Pionk	D	0	0	0	3	1	3	-1	0	26:16	0:00
D. DeMelo	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	+1	2	24:01	0:00
D. Samberg	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	-1	0	24:01	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Hellebuyck	34	31	3	.912	64:56	Win
E. Comrie	0	0	0	–	0:00

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Coronato	RW	1	1	2	4	0	0	+1	0	20:05	4:09
M. Frost	C	0	2	2	3	0	0	+1	0	18:12	2:47
J. Huberdeau	LW	0	1	1	2	1	2	0	0	22:36	4:16
N. Kadri	C	0	0	0	5	1	0	-1	0	25:23	4:16
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	18:31	0:00
B. Coleman	LW	0	0	0	2	6	2	-1	0	16:15	0:11
M. Backlund	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:59	0:35
R. Kerins	C	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	15:53	0:46
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	13:16	1:12
C. Zary	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	10:32	0:46
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	1	3	0	+1	0	9:31	0:00
S. Honzek	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	7:05	0:00
R. Andersson	D	0	1	1	3	1	3	0	0	26:37	4:16
K. Bahl	D	1	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	21:39	0:12
J. Bean	D	1	0	1	2	0	3	0	0	18:38	0:00
B. Pachal	D	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	0	16:06	0:00
M. Weegar	D	0	0	0	3	5	3	0	0	20:53	0:46
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	19:27	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Wolf	23	20	3	.870	64:29	OT loss
D. Cooley	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WPG

Line 1M. Scheifele19:14K. Connor18:05G. Vilardi17:18

Line 2N. Niederreiter15:08A. Iafallo14:54A. Lowry13:58

Line 3V. Namestnikov13:43C. Perfetti13:32J. Toews13:52

Line 4T. Pearson8:58P. Ford9:09G. Nyquist9:49

Pair 1J. Morrissey21:31D. DeMelo22:34

Pair 2D. Samberg19:24N. Pionk22:24

Pair 3L. Schenn11:11L. Stanley15:21

CGY

Line 1N. Kadri19:50R. Kerins15:07J. Farabee16:51

Line 2M. Backlund14:58B. Coleman15:38S. Honzek7:05

Line 3J. Huberdeau17:23M. Frost13:57M. Coronato15:10

Line 4R. Lomberg9:31A. Klapka12:04C. Zary8:48

Pair 1K. Bahl21:01R. Andersson20:13

Pair 2M. Weegar18:18Y. Kuznetsov19:27

Pair 3J. Bean18:38B. Pachal16:06

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownJosh Morrissey WPG Plays in his hometown2 A, 0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WPG 3.1, CGY 2.7	WPG 4, CGY 3
Total goals	5.7	7
Shots on goal	WPG 27.3, CGY 29.1	WPG 23, CGY 34
Win chance	WPG 56%	WPG won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WPG K. Connor	3.3	5	1.06	2	37%	0
CGY N. Kadri	3.2	5	0.78	0	29%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.4	4	0.54	2	22%	1
WPG M. Scheifele	2.2	1	0.99	1	34%	1
WPG G. Vilardi	2.2	0	0.76	0	30%	0
CGY R. Andersson	2.1	3	0.45	1	11%	0
CGY M. Weegar	2.1	3	0.46	0	9%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.0	2	0.43	0	20%	0
WPG C. Perfetti	1.9	3	0.60	1	21%	1
CGY M. Backlund	1.9	0	0.37	0	15%	0
WPG J. Morrissey	1.9	0	0.68	2	12%	0
CGY J. Huberdeau	1.8	2	0.69	1	22%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.8	3	0.37	0	16%	0
WPG N. Pionk	1.8	3	0.39	0	6%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.7	3	0.46	2	16%	0
WPG N. Niederreiter	1.6	0	0.39	0	19%	0
WPG A. Iafallo	1.5	1	0.38	0	16%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.4	0	0.34	0	15%	0
WPG D. Samberg	1.4	1	0.26	0	4%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.4	1	0.20	0	4%	0
WPG J. Toews	1.4	3	0.43	0	17%	0
WPG A. Lowry	1.3	2	0.37	0	16%	0
WPG V. Namestnikov	1.3	1	0.42	0	15%	0
CGY S. Honzek	1.2	0	0.22	0	12%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.2	3	0.26	0	13%	0
WPG T. Pearson	1.1	1	0.25	1	11%	1
CGY J. Bean	1.1	2	0.16	1	4%	1
CGY K. Bahl	1.0	2	0.22	1	4%	1
WPG L. Stanley	0.9	0	0.23	1	3%	0
CGY R. Kerins	0.9	0	0.42	0	11%	0
WPG D. DeMelo	0.9	0	0.26	0	4%	0
WPG G. Nyquist	0.9	0	0.31	0	11%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	0.8	1	0.12	0	6%	0
WPG L. Schenn	0.8	1	0.09	1	2%	0
CGY B. Pachal	0.8	0	0.16	1	3%	0
WPG P. Ford	0.7	1	0.18	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.