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Game Recap
WPG0
CHI2
CHI beat WPG 2-0, with the chances close: 2.91 expected goals to 2.81. WPG outshot CHI 32 to 24. A. Vlasic led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). S. Knight stopped 32 of 32.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CHI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
- 2nd 13:21CHIJ. Dickinson0.08 xG
- 3rd 18:40CHIC. BedardEN0.74 xG
Team Stats
WPGCHI
32Shots on goal24
2.81Expected goals2.91
65Shot attempts50
305v5 shots on goal20
0/2Power play0/3
26Hits13
13Blocked shots16
6Penalty minutes4
8Giveaways14
3Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WPG 2.81 xGCHI 2.91 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Connor | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 22:02 | 3:13 |
| M. Scheifele | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 21:38 | 3:20 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 19:18 | 2:38 |
| C. Perfetti | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 18:40 | 0:47 |
| J. Toews | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:06 | 3:12 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0:33 |
| A. Lowry | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0:00 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:57 | 1:28 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0:39 |
| M. Barron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0:00 |
| T. Pearson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:02 | 0:00 |
| C. Koepke | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:06 | 0:00 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 28:22 | 3:39 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:02 | 0:10 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21:12 | 0:18 |
| D. Samberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18:23 | 0:03 |
| L. Schenn | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 17:12 | 0:00 |
| I. Phillips | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:29 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hellebuyck | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 58:37 | Loss |
| E. Comrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CHI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Mikheyev | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:26 | 0:03 |
| C. Bedard | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:12 | 3:43 |
| J. Dickinson | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:34 | 0:03 |
| R. Donato | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0:52 |
| R. Greene | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:08 | 3:13 |
| T. Bertuzzi | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 | 3:16 |
| O. Moore | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 3:13 |
| N. Foligno | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 | 1:18 |
| L. Slaggert | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0:03 |
| C. Dach | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:03 | 1:19 |
| N. Lardis | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 1:20 |
| S. Lafferty | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:01 | 0:00 |
| A. Vlasic | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:01 | 0:03 |
| L. Crevier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 21:32 | 0:05 |
| A. Levshunov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:12 | 3:21 |
| W. Kaiser | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 | 0:00 |
| M. Grzelcyk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | 1:13 |
| C. Murphy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Knight | 32 | 32 | 0 | 1.000 | 59:39 | Win |
| A. Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
WPG
Line 1M. Scheifele16:52K. Connor17:31A. Iafallo14:50
Line 2J. Toews14:18G. Vilardi15:25C. Perfetti16:30
Line 3N. Niederreiter10:51V. Namestnikov10:59A. Lowry10:41
Line 4T. Pearson8:09M. Barron7:45C. Koepke5:23
Pair 1J. Morrissey23:11D. DeMelo19:49
Pair 2L. Schenn15:30D. Samberg15:31
Pair 3L. Stanley18:31I. Phillips6:29
CHI
Line 1J. Dickinson16:06I. Mikheyev17:33R. Donato15:19
Line 2T. Bertuzzi12:32C. Bedard14:34R. Greene11:39
Line 3N. Foligno11:18C. Dach9:44S. Lafferty9:01
Line 4L. Slaggert10:10O. Moore11:12N. Lardis9:30
Pair 1A. Vlasic18:47L. Crevier19:49
Pair 2W. Kaiser15:47A. Levshunov14:39
Pair 3C. Murphy14:21M. Grzelcyk16:14
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WPG 3.2, CHI 2.7 | WPG 0, CHI 2 |
| Total goals | 5.9 | 2 |
| Shots on goal | WPG 26.8, CHI 25.1 | WPG 32, CHI 24 |
| Win chance | WPG 58% | CHI won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG K. Connor | 3.3 | 4 | 1.14 | 0 | 38% | 0 |
| CHI C. Bedard | 2.7 | 3 | 0.90 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 2.3 | 0 | 1.11 | 0 | 36% | 0 |
| CHI T. Bertuzzi | 2.1 | 1 | 0.67 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 2.0 | 2 | 0.85 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 2.0 | 4 | 0.83 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 1.8 | 2 | 0.52 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| WPG M. Barron | 1.8 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI R. Donato | 1.7 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| CHI I. Mikheyev | 1.7 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 1.7 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.6 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| CHI A. Levshunov | 1.6 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG J. Toews | 1.6 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| CHI R. Greene | 1.5 | 2 | 0.42 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| CHI L. Crevier | 1.5 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| CHI N. Lardis | 1.5 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| WPG D. Samberg | 1.3 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG A. Lowry | 1.3 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| CHI O. Moore | 1.2 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI W. Kaiser | 1.2 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| CHI J. Dickinson | 1.2 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 14% | 1 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.2 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| WPG C. Koepke | 1.1 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WPG T. Pearson | 1.1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI M. Grzelcyk | 1.1 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 1.0 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| CHI N. Foligno | 1.0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CHI C. Murphy | 1.0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CHI L. Slaggert | 1.0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CHI A. Vlasic | 1.0 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 1.0 | 3 | 0.34 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WPG L. Schenn | 0.9 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CHI C. Dach | 0.9 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| WPG I. Phillips | 0.8 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| CHI S. Lafferty | 0.7 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.