LAK beat WPG 4-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.32 expected goals to 1.73. LAK outshot WPG 33 to 14. A. Kempe led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). D. Rittich stopped 13 of 14.
Team Stats
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WPG 1.73 xGLAK 3.32 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Connor | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:06 | 2:31 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:32 | 2:37 |
| N. Ehlers | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 16:57 | 2:37 |
| M. Scheifele | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 20:42 | 2:34 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 15:33 | 1:32 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | 1:32 |
| M. Appleton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0:00 |
| A. Lowry | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:42 | 0:00 |
| C. Perfetti | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:12 | 1:38 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 11:36 | 1:32 |
| M. Barron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:26 | 0:00 |
| R. Kupari | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:07 | 0:00 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 24:18 | 2:27 |
| N. Pionk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 23:06 | 1:42 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 22:27 | 0:03 |
| H. Fleury | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:31 | 0:00 |
| C. Miller | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 | 0:00 |
| V. Heinola | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hellebuyck | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 59:34 | Loss |
| E. Comrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:28 | 1:26 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:26 | 1:25 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:56 | 1:25 |
| P. Danault | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:07 | 0:38 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:46 | 1:30 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 10:08 | 0:30 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 | 0:39 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:58 | 1:34 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 0:00 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:38 | 0:00 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:51 | 0:00 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:53 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 24:32 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:23 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0:39 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 24:03 | 0:00 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:21 | 0:34 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rittich | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 60:00 | Win |
| E. Portillo | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WPG 2.9, LAK 2.9 | WPG 1, LAK 4 |
| Total goals | 5.7 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | WPG 26.0, LAK 30.9 | WPG 14, LAK 33 |
| Win chance | WPG 50% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.1 | 5 | 0.83 | 2 | 33% | 1 |
| WPG K. Connor | 2.9 | 0 | 0.86 | 1 | 33% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.6 | 4 | 0.75 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.5 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| WPG N. Ehlers | 2.4 | 1 | 0.70 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.3 | 2 | 0.45 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.2 | 3 | 0.45 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.0 | 3 | 0.41 | 2 | 19% | 0 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 2.0 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 1.9 | 1 | 0.64 | 1 | 28% | 1 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.8 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 1.8 | 0 | 0.81 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.7 | 3 | 0.50 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 1.7 | 0 | 0.51 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 1.7 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.6 | 2 | 0.79 | 2 | 23% | 1 |
| WPG N. Pionk | 1.5 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.4 | 1 | 0.32 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.3 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.3 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WPG M. Appleton | 1.3 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG A. Lowry | 1.3 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.3 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.1 | 0 | 0.20 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.1 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.1 | 1 | 0.24 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| WPG M. Barron | 1.1 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WPG C. Miller | 1.1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG H. Fleury | 1.0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG V. Heinola | 1.0 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 0.9 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 0.9 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WPG R. Kupari | 0.9 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.8 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.5 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.