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Game Recap
WPG1
LAK4
LAK beat WPG 4-1, with the chances close: 1.64 expected goals to 1.38. A. Kopitar led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). D. Kuemper stopped 19 of 20.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| LAK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
- 1st 8:28LAKT. Moore0.05 xG
- 1st 9:50LAKA. Kopitar0.14 xG
- 2nd 11:40WPGC. Perfetti0.17 xG
- 2nd 16:07LAKA. Kuzmenko0.14 xG
- 3rd 19:05LAKA. KempeEN0.47 xG
Team Stats
WPGLAK
20Shots on goal20
1.38Expected goals1.64
54Shot attempts53
205v5 shots on goal18
0/2Power play0/1
26Hits19
20Blocked shots17
0Penalty minutes4
8Giveaways15
2Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WPG 1.38 xGLAK 1.64 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Perfetti | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 2:02 |
| M. Barron | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 0:00 |
| K. Connor | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 22:44 | 1:59 |
| M. Scheifele | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 22:11 | 2:00 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 19:33 | 1:58 |
| M. Appleton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 | 2:01 |
| N. Ehlers | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 15:24 | 2:11 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:39 | 1:49 |
| A. Lowry | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:29 | 0:00 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:34 | 1:49 |
| B. Tanev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 9:36 | 0:00 |
| D. Gustafsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 7:56 | 0:00 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 22:33 | 2:10 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:26 | 0:13 |
| C. Miller | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 21:32 | 1:38 |
| D. Samberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 | 0:10 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:06 | 0:00 |
| H. Fleury | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hellebuyck | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 58:57 | Loss |
| E. Comrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 18:32 | 1:26 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 17:25 | 1:23 |
| A. Kuzmenko | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:24 | 1:20 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:45 | 0:37 |
| T. Moore | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:25 | 0:39 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 | 0:34 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 16:27 | 0:38 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 1:22 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 0:00 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:19 | 0:00 |
| J. Malott | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:30 | 0:00 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:57 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 19:44 | 0:00 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:58 | 1:21 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:28 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0:40 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:26 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 60:00 | Win |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WPG 2.8, LAK 2.7 | WPG 1, LAK 4 |
| Total goals | 5.5 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | WPG 24.8, LAK 27.6 | WPG 20, LAK 20 |
| Win chance | WPG 52% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG K. Connor | 2.8 | 2 | 0.88 | 0 | 33% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kempe | 2.7 | 1 | 0.70 | 2 | 31% | 1 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.6 | 2 | 0.68 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.4 | 1 | 0.48 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| WPG N. Ehlers | 2.4 | 2 | 0.72 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.1 | 2 | 0.36 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.1 | 3 | 0.46 | 1 | 20% | 1 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 2.0 | 0 | 0.66 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.9 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 1.8 | 4 | 0.82 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.6 | 1 | 0.34 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.6 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kuzmenko | 1.5 | 1 | 0.56 | 2 | 24% | 1 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 1.5 | 4 | 0.48 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 1.5 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.4 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WPG M. Appleton | 1.4 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| WPG D. Samberg | 1.3 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.3 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| WPG A. Lowry | 1.3 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.2 | 1 | 0.63 | 2 | 20% | 1 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.2 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.20 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.1 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| WPG C. Miller | 1.1 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG M. Barron | 0.9 | 1 | 0.16 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 0.9 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 0.9 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG B. Tanev | 0.8 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WPG H. Fleury | 0.8 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 0.8 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| WPG D. Gustafsson | 0.7 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.6 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.