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Game Recap
WPG4
SEA3
WPG beat SEA 4-3 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.42 expected goals to 2.13. M. Beniers led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). N. Pionk had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.5. C. Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 32.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
- 1st 11:27SEAM. Beniers0.07 xG
- 2nd 3:56WPGN. Niederreiter0.20 xG
- 2nd 15:05WPGG. Vilardi0.18 xG
- 3rd 4:21WPGN. Niederreiter0.15 xG
- 3rd 11:01SEAJ. Eberle0.10 xG
- 3rd 16:38SEAM. Beniers0.05 xG
- OT 1:26WPGN. Ehlers0.16 xG
Team Stats
WPGSEA
36Shots on goal32
2.42Expected goals2.13
56Shot attempts61
325v5 shots on goal28
0/1Power play0/2
31Hits34
15Blocked shots16
4Penalty minutes2
12Giveaways9
6Takeaways2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WPG 2.42 xGSEA 2.13 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scheifele | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:30 | 1:33 |
| K. Connor | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 | 1:34 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:06 | 0:27 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18:40 | 1:35 |
| N. Ehlers | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:11 | 1:32 |
| A. Lowry | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:19 | 0:00 |
| C. Perfetti | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0:28 |
| M. Appleton | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0:00 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0:22 |
| M. Barron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 | 0:00 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0:26 |
| R. Kupari | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0:00 |
| N. Pionk | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:28 | 0:29 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27:36 | 1:31 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:52 | 0:00 |
| D. Samberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 20:36 | 0:03 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0:00 |
| C. Miller | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hellebuyck | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 61:19 | Win |
| E. Comrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Beniers | C | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:23 | 2:00 |
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:48 | 2:05 |
| J. Eberle | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 0 | 19:26 | 2:02 |
| C. Stephenson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:02 | 2:01 |
| J. Schwartz | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:31 | 1:55 |
| Y. Gourde | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 | 0:00 |
| O. Bjorkstrand | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:06 | 1:39 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 13:56 | 2:00 |
| B. Tanev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0:00 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 | 0:00 |
| S. Wright | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:55 | 1:59 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 8:46 | 0:00 |
| B. Montour | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:52 | 2:54 |
| R. Evans | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:51 | 1:06 |
| A. Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:23 | 0:00 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:20 | 0:00 |
| W. Borgen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:50 | 0:19 |
| J. Mahura | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Daccord | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 61:06 | OT loss |
| P. Grubauer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WPG 3.0, SEA 2.9 | WPG 4, SEA 3 |
| Total goals | 5.9 | 7 |
| Shots on goal | WPG 27.6, SEA 30.2 | WPG 36, SEA 32 |
| Win chance | WPG 52% | WPG won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG K. Connor | 3.1 | 1 | 0.86 | 2 | 34% | 0 |
| SEA J. McCann | 2.6 | 3 | 0.74 | 2 | 30% | 0 |
| SEA B. Montour | 2.5 | 1 | 0.51 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG N. Ehlers | 2.5 | 3 | 0.69 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| SEA O. Bjorkstrand | 2.1 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 2.0 | 2 | 0.87 | 2 | 32% | 0 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 2.0 | 3 | 0.65 | 1 | 28% | 1 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 2.0 | 2 | 0.71 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| SEA J. Eberle | 2.0 | 5 | 0.57 | 1 | 21% | 1 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 1.9 | 3 | 0.42 | 2 | 21% | 2 |
| SEA J. Schwartz | 1.9 | 2 | 0.48 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SEA A. Burakovsky | 1.8 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.8 | 2 | 0.49 | 3 | 20% | 2 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 1.8 | 4 | 0.50 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA E. Tolvanen | 1.6 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA Y. Gourde | 1.5 | 4 | 0.41 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| WPG N. Pionk | 1.5 | 6 | 0.40 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.4 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.4 | 0 | 0.68 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| WPG M. Appleton | 1.3 | 3 | 0.36 | 1 | 13% | 0 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 1.3 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG A. Lowry | 1.3 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| SEA S. Wright | 1.3 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| SEA B. Tanev | 1.3 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 1.2 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WPG C. Miller | 1.2 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA T. Kartye | 1.2 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG M. Barron | 1.2 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WPG D. Samberg | 1.0 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.0 | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| SEA W. Borgen | 1.0 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 0.9 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 0.9 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG R. Kupari | 0.9 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA J. Mahura | 0.8 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.