Game Recap: WPG 1, SJS 2, November 7, 2025

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Game Recap

WPG1

FinalFri, Nov 7, 2025Every game that night

SJS2

SJS beat WPG 2-1, with the chances close: 3.05 expected goals to 3.00. M. Celebrini led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). G. Vilardi had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. A. Nedeljkovic stopped 32 of 33.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WPG	1	0	0	1
SJS	1	0	1	2

1st 12:34WPGJ. Morrissey0.02 xG
1st 13:46SJSM. Celebrini0.08 xG
3rd 15:39SJSW. Smith0.03 xG

Team Stats

WPGSJS

33Shots on goal28

3.00Expected goals3.05

53Shot attempts69

195v5 shots on goal22

0/2Power play0/4

20Hits16

28Blocked shots11

8Penalty minutes2

12Giveaways8

6Takeaways1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WPG 3.00 xGSJS 3.05 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WPG32 on goal, 1 scored

SJS28 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WPG Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. Niederreiter	RW	0	1	1	2	2	1	+1	0	15:04	0:44
M. Scheifele	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	20:46	2:07
G. Vilardi	C	0	0	0	7	0	2	-1	2	20:32	2:06
K. Connor	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	19:09	1:57
V. Namestnikov	C	0	0	0	5	3	3	0	0	17:51	0:47
J. Toews	C	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	2	15:31	0:46
A. Iafallo	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	14:57	1:58
A. Lowry	C	0	0	0	2	2	4	+1	0	14:41	0:00
C. Koepke	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	10:47	0:00
N. Chibrikov	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	4	10:22	0:06
T. Pearson	LW	0	0	0	0	1	2	-2	0	9:35	0:44
P. Ford	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	7:08	0:00
J. Morrissey	D	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	22:31	2:07
N. Pionk	D	0	0	0	2	2	3	-1	0	25:47	0:53
D. DeMelo	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	20:39	0:00
L. Stanley	D	0	0	0	3	1	2	0	0	19:26	0:00
H. Fleury	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	16:29	0:00
L. Schenn	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	13:32	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Hellebuyck	28	26	2	.929	57:13	Loss
E. Comrie	0	0	0	–	0:00

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Celebrini	C	1	1	2	6	1	0	+2	0	19:39	4:33
P. Kurashev	C	0	1	1	4	0	0	+1	0	20:10	2:20
W. Smith	C	1	0	1	4	0	0	+2	0	19:50	4:47
T. Toffoli	C	0	1	1	0	1	0	+1	0	15:59	4:44
A. Wennberg	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	21:54	4:43
C. Graf	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	17:23	0:09
J. Skinner	LW	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	12:35	1:52
T. Dellandrea	C	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	12:16	0:00
E. Cardwell	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	11:38	0:00
B. Goodrow	C	0	0	0	2	3	0	-1	0	11:20	0:00
A. Gaudette	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	11:13	1:53
R. Reaves	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	6:16	0:00
D. Orlov	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	23:22	2:00
J. Klingberg	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	21:39	5:06
M. Ferraro	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	-1	0	21:21	0:00
T. Liljegren	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1	2	20:13	2:08
V. Desharnais	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	16:11	0:00
S. Mukhamadullin	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	13:01	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Nedeljkovic	33	32	1	.970	60:00	Win
Y. Askarov	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WPG

Line 1G. Vilardi15:53M. Scheifele16:05K. Connor13:22

Line 2J. Toews13:16A. Iafallo12:42V. Namestnikov11:04

Line 3N. Niederreiter13:23A. Lowry10:53N. Chibrikov10:16

Line 4T. Pearson7:42P. Ford6:28C. Koepke7:51

Pair 1D. DeMelo15:33J. Morrissey17:25

Pair 2L. Stanley17:40N. Pionk19:31

Pair 3L. Schenn10:43H. Fleury12:03

SJS

Line 1P. Kurashev15:34C. Graf14:44A. Wennberg13:58

Line 2W. Smith13:24M. Celebrini13:27T. Toffoli10:50

Line 3T. Dellandrea11:25E. Cardwell11:38J. Skinner10:43

Line 4B. Goodrow8:42A. Gaudette8:10R. Reaves6:16

Pair 1D. Orlov17:51T. Liljegren15:48

Pair 2J. Klingberg16:08M. Ferraro18:06

Pair 3V. Desharnais13:09S. Mukhamadullin11:57

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamEric Comrie SJS First game against WPG since he left (his team until Apr 2026)0 saves on 0
Old teamMario Ferraro WPG First game back in San Jose, his team until Apr 20260 SOG
Old teamTyler Toffoli SJS Faces WPG, his team until Apr 20241 A, 0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WPG 3.6, SJS 2.5	WPG 1, SJS 2
Total goals	6.1	3
Shots on goal	WPG 29.5, SJS 25.6	WPG 33, SJS 28
Win chance	WPG 67%	SJS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WPG K. Connor	3.5	3	1.27	0	41%	0
SJS M. Celebrini	3.0	6	0.81	2	26%	1
SJS T. Toffoli	2.7	0	0.64	1	28%	0
WPG M. Scheifele	2.3	2	1.16	0	37%	0
WPG J. Morrissey	2.2	2	0.92	1	16%	1
WPG G. Vilardi	2.2	7	0.90	0	33%	0
WPG N. Pionk	2.0	2	0.54	0	10%	0
SJS W. Smith	2.0	4	0.67	1	23%	1
SJS J. Skinner	1.8	1	0.45	0	21%	0
WPG N. Niederreiter	1.8	2	0.48	1	22%	0
WPG A. Iafallo	1.7	0	0.49	0	20%	0
SJS D. Orlov	1.6	1	0.43	0	8%	0
WPG A. Lowry	1.6	2	0.49	0	21%	0
SJS P. Kurashev	1.6	4	0.47	1	17%	0
SJS J. Klingberg	1.6	1	0.45	0	9%	0
WPG J. Toews	1.5	2	0.56	0	20%	0
WPG V. Namestnikov	1.5	5	0.56	0	19%	0
WPG T. Pearson	1.4	0	0.38	0	15%	0
SJS T. Liljegren	1.2	1	0.28	0	6%	0
WPG C. Koepke	1.2	1	0.24	0	12%	0
SJS A. Wennberg	1.2	1	0.45	0	15%	0
SJS A. Gaudette	1.1	1	0.28	0	15%	0
WPG D. DeMelo	1.1	1	0.39	0	6%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.1	0	0.21	0	4%	0
WPG L. Stanley	1.0	3	0.31	0	5%	0
WPG N. Chibrikov	1.0	0	0.32	0	14%	0
SJS S. Mukhamadullin	1.0	1	0.29	0	4%	0
SJS E. Cardwell	1.0	1	0.25	0	13%	0
SJS T. Dellandrea	1.0	3	0.22	0	8%	0
SJS C. Graf	1.0	1	0.24	0	11%	0
WPG H. Fleury	1.0	0	0.16	0	3%	0
WPG P. Ford	0.9	1	0.28	0	12%	0
WPG L. Schenn	0.8	0	0.12	0	3%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.8	2	0.15	0	8%	0
SJS V. Desharnais	0.6	0	0.10	0	1%	0
SJS R. Reaves	0.4	0	0.10	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.