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Game Recap
WPG5
VAN3
WPG beat VAN 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.65 expected goals to 2.72. J. Morrissey led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). E. Kane had 8 shots on goal against our projection of 2.6. C. Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 33.
Team Stats
WPGVAN
30Shots on goal33
3.65Expected goals2.72
58Shot attempts68
225v5 shots on goal29
2/4Power play1/2
12Hits19
17Blocked shots14
4Penalty minutes8
13Giveaways12
5Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WPG 3.65 xGVAN 2.72 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Iafallo | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:23 | 1:31 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:18 | 1:31 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 22:48 | 4:44 |
| K. Connor | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 22:03 | 4:34 |
| C. Perfetti | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:20 | 4:47 |
| J. Toews | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:23 | 1:37 |
| A. Lowry | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:16 | 0:15 |
| M. Scheifele | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 22:39 | 4:40 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:35 | 1:32 |
| P. Ford | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 9:55 | 0:07 |
| T. Pearson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:43 | 0:07 |
| N. Chibrikov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:34 | 0:00 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 24:23 | 4:21 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:58 | 0:07 |
| N. Pionk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:13 | 2:05 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 21:27 | 0:07 |
| L. Schenn | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0:00 |
| H. Fleury | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hellebuyck | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 60:00 | Win |
| E. Comrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Pettersson | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:23 | 2:16 |
| B. Boeser | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:03 | 2:22 |
| K. Sherwood | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:05 | 0:07 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:53 | 1:50 |
| C. Garland | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:24 | 2:25 |
| E. Kane | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:36 | 0:14 |
| D. O'Connor | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 12:20 | 0:00 |
| A. Räty | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:33 | 0:00 |
| L. Reichel | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:06 | 0:00 |
| M. Sasson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:49 | 0:00 |
| L. Karlsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 8:49 | 0:46 |
| A. Bains | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5:32 | 0:00 |
| Q. Hughes | D | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28:17 | 2:29 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 24:27 | 0:20 |
| T. Myers | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:35 | 0:00 |
| M. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0:00 |
| T. Willander | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 14:38 | 0:11 |
| E. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 2 | 13:20 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Demko | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 20:00 | |
| K. Lankinen | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 36:44 | Loss |
Lines at 5-on-5
WPG
Line 1M. Scheifele16:51G. Vilardi16:55K. Connor15:58
Line 2J. Toews11:34C. Perfetti12:02V. Namestnikov10:57
Line 3N. Niederreiter11:00A. Lowry10:29A. Iafallo10:23
Line 4T. Pearson8:53P. Ford8:59N. Chibrikov8:34
Pair 1L. Stanley19:32N. Pionk19:05
Pair 2D. DeMelo18:57J. Morrissey17:57
VAN
Line 1E. Kane19:02E. Pettersson17:10C. Garland15:54
Line 2K. Sherwood14:17B. Boeser13:44L. Reichel11:06
Line 3J. DeBrusk10:02A. Räty10:01D. O'Connor9:42
Line 4M. Sasson9:18L. Karlsson7:44A. Bains5:32
Pair 2T. Myers12:36M. Pettersson11:46
Pair 3E. Pettersson13:04T. Willander14:20
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WPG 3.1, VAN 2.7 | WPG 5, VAN 3 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 8 |
| Shots on goal | WPG 26.8, VAN 26.0 | WPG 30, VAN 33 |
| Win chance | WPG 56% | WPG won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG K. Connor | 3.2 | 5 | 1.08 | 1 | 36% | 0 |
| VAN Q. Hughes | 2.7 | 4 | 0.97 | 3 | 13% | 0 |
| VAN E. Kane | 2.6 | 8 | 0.55 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| VAN C. Garland | 2.4 | 0 | 0.66 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 2.3 | 2 | 0.54 | 1 | 27% | 1 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 2.1 | 2 | 0.99 | 0 | 33% | 0 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 2.0 | 5 | 0.76 | 1 | 28% | 1 |
| VAN K. Sherwood | 2.0 | 4 | 0.56 | 1 | 24% | 1 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 1.9 | 5 | 0.63 | 1 | 27% | 1 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 1.9 | 1 | 0.78 | 2 | 28% | 0 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 1.9 | 1 | 0.73 | 3 | 15% | 1 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 1.8 | 1 | 0.58 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| WPG N. Pionk | 1.7 | 1 | 0.44 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 1.6 | 3 | 0.42 | 2 | 19% | 1 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.5 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 16% | 1 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.5 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WPG J. Toews | 1.4 | 1 | 0.47 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.4 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| WPG A. Lowry | 1.4 | 2 | 0.39 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| VAN D. O'Connor | 1.3 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| VAN T. Myers | 1.3 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG T. Pearson | 1.1 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN A. Räty | 1.1 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| VAN L. Karlsson | 1.1 | 4 | 0.24 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| VAN L. Reichel | 1.1 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN M. Sasson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| VAN M. Pettersson | 1.0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 0.9 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 0.9 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG N. Chibrikov | 0.9 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN T. Willander | 0.8 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG H. Fleury | 0.8 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG L. Schenn | 0.8 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG P. Ford | 0.7 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| VAN A. Bains | 0.6 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 0.6 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.