Game Recap: ANA 3, CGY 2 (OT), March 26, 2026

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Game Recap

ANA3

Final/OTThu, Mar 26, 2026Every game that night

CGY2

ANA beat CGY 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.24 expected goals to 2.25. ANA outshot CGY 33 to 25. M. Granlund scored three for ANA. M. Granlund had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.8. V. Husso stopped 23 of 25.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
ANA	0	1	1	1	3
CGY	0	1	1	0	2

2nd 1:06CGYB. Coleman0.09 xG
2nd 3:07ANAM. Granlund0.10 xG
3rd 7:46CGYM. Gridin0.04 xG
3rd 16:27ANAM. GranlundPP0.09 xG
OT 4:59ANAM. GranlundPP0.14 xG

Team Stats

ANACGY

33Shots on goal25

3.24Expected goals2.25

75Shot attempts52

265v5 shots on goal23

2/5Power play0/1

22Hits17

14Blocked shots21

2Penalty minutes6

16Giveaways24

6Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 3.24 xGCGY 2.25 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA33 on goal, 3 scored

CGY24 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Granlund	C	3	0	3	6	1	1	+1	0	19:31	4:54
C. Gauthier	LW	0	1	1	5	2	0	0	0	22:03	5:09
L. Carlsson	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	0	20:05	3:59
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	2	18:19	5:01
A. Killorn	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	17:48	3:27
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:54	0:00
B. Sennecke	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	15:47	2:32
M. McTavish	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	-1	0	15:05	3:01
J. Viel	LW	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	14:46	0:00
F. Vatrano	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	13:38	3:00
T. Washe	C	0	0	0	1	4	1	-1	0	12:51	0:03
J. Carlson	D	0	2	2	3	1	0	0	0	26:55	5:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	0	0	3	0	2	-1	0	25:58	3:11
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	0	23:31	0:00
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	17:44	0:06
O. Zellweger	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	13:25	0:00
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	11:00	0:06
R. Gudas	D	0	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	8:33	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
V. Husso	25	23	2	.920	64:59	Win
L. Dostal	0	0	0	–	0:00

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
B. Coleman	LW	1	0	1	3	1	0	+1	2	18:30	0:59
J. Farabee	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	18:16	0:00
M. Gridin	RW	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	16:26	0:59
M. Coronato	RW	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	15:38	0:49
M. Backlund	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	21:54	0:55
Y. Sharangovich	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	17:19	0:58
M. Frost	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	16:52	0:59
V. Olofsson	LW	0	0	0	4	0	2	0	0	15:53	1:08
R. Strome	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	13:13	1:01
J. Beecher	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	10:50	0:03
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	9:59	0:04
M. Pospisil	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	8:52	0:00
O. Määttä	D	0	2	2	0	1	0	+2	0	22:20	0:03
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	-1	0	26:06	0:00
Z. Whitecloud	D	0	0	0	1	1	7	-1	0	25:34	0:00
H. Brzustewicz	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	2	17:46	1:06
Z. Parekh	D	0	0	0	1	0	4	+1	0	17:06	0:56
J. Hanley	D	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	15:28	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Cooley	33	30	3	.909	64:59	OT loss
D. Wolf	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1J. Viel14:44R. Poehling14:32C. Gauthier15:00

Line 2C. Kreider13:09L. Carlsson14:23F. Vatrano10:29

Line 3A. Killorn12:44B. Sennecke12:21M. Granlund11:54

Line 4T. Washe11:43M. McTavish12:04

Pair 1J. LaCombe20:22J. Trouba20:45

Pair 2J. Carlson20:39P. Mintyukov16:47

Pair 3O. Zellweger12:17R. Gudas8:33

CGY

Line 1M. Frost14:37M. Gridin14:33M. Coronato13:14

Line 2M. Backlund15:08B. Coleman14:16J. Farabee13:58

Line 3R. Strome12:12V. Olofsson12:54Y. Sharangovich13:21

Line 4A. Klapka9:55M. Pospisil8:52J. Beecher8:45

Pair 1Z. Whitecloud17:46K. Bahl18:57

Pair 2O. Määttä19:35H. Brzustewicz16:40

Pair 3J. Hanley13:29Z. Parekh15:08

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamRyan Strome CGY Faces ANA, his team until Mar 20263 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 3.1, CGY 3.0	ANA 3, CGY 2
Total goals	6.0	5
Shots on goal	ANA 30.0, CGY 29.9	ANA 33, CGY 25
Win chance	ANA 51%	ANA won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
ANA C. Gauthier	3.3	5	0.77	1	31%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.7	3	0.66	1	27%	1
CGY M. Coronato	2.5	3	0.60	1	24%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.5	2	0.60	0	22%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.3	1	0.78	1	25%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	2.3	1	0.65	0	21%	0
CGY M. Gridin	2.1	1	0.55	1	17%	1
CGY V. Olofsson	2.0	4	0.52	0	24%	0
ANA C. Kreider	2.0	1	0.68	0	32%	0
ANA A. Killorn	2.0	0	0.50	0	21%	0
CGY Y. Sharangovich	2.0	3	0.49	0	24%	0
ANA J. Carlson	1.9	3	0.61	2	11%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.9	3	0.33	0	7%	0
ANA M. Granlund	1.8	6	0.64	3	19%	3
CGY M. Frost	1.8	1	0.54	0	20%	0
CGY J. Farabee	1.8	0	0.47	1	20%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.6	1	0.44	0	17%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.6	3	0.51	0	9%	0
CGY R. Strome	1.5	3	0.55	0	16%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.4	1	0.50	0	16%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	1.4	1	0.27	0	14%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.3	1	0.20	0	6%	0
CGY Z. Parekh	1.3	1	0.32	0	9%	0
CGY H. Brzustewicz	1.3	1	0.25	0	7%	0
ANA J. Viel	1.3	2	0.22	0	10%	0
CGY Z. Whitecloud	1.2	1	0.29	0	8%	0
CGY O. Määttä	1.2	0	0.34	2	6%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.2	2	0.30	0	8%	0
CGY M. Pospisil	1.1	1	0.24	0	7%	0
ANA T. Washe	1.0	1	0.21	0	10%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.0	1	0.27	0	12%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.0	0	0.30	0	6%	0
ANA I. Moore	0.9	0	0.18	0	5%	0
ANA R. Gudas	0.9	1	0.17	0	3%	0
CGY J. Beecher	0.9	0	0.20	0	10%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.7	0	0.15	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.