Game Recap: ANA 3, DET 6, November 13, 2025

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Game Recap

ANA3

FinalThu, Nov 13, 2025Every game that night

DET6

DET beat ANA 6-3, with the chances close: 3.06 expected goals to 2.64. A. DeBrincat led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). A. DeBrincat had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 3.3. C. Talbot stopped 10 of 11.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	0	2	1	3
DET	0	3	3	6

2nd 5:57DETM. SeiderPP0.08 xG
2nd 7:35ANAC. Gauthier0.10 xG
2nd 12:42DETM. Rasmussen0.05 xG
2nd 14:54ANAC. Kreider0.13 xG
2nd 15:33DETA. Sandin-Pellikka0.01 xG
3rd 0:50DETA. DeBrincatPP0.10 xG
3rd 4:33ANAM. Granlund0.05 xG
3rd 5:06DETD. Larkin0.19 xG
3rd 17:59DETA. DeBrincatEN0.48 xG

Team Stats

ANADET

28Shots on goal33

2.64Expected goals3.06

65Shot attempts57

225v5 shots on goal25

0/3Power play2/4

21Hits16

14Blocked shots17

24Penalty minutes22

12Giveaways18

5Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 2.64 xGDET 3.06 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA28 on goal, 3 scored

DET32 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Kreider	LW	1	0	1	2	1	1	0	2	16:21	3:27
C. Gauthier	LW	1	0	1	3	0	1	-2	0	16:09	3:38
B. Sennecke	RW	0	1	1	4	3	0	-2	2	16:07	1:54
M. Granlund	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	15:45	1:59
R. Strome	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	13:47	0:53
L. Carlsson	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	23:21	3:28
T. Terry	RW	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	20:19	3:31
A. Killorn	LW	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	2	16:13	1:55
M. McTavish	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	6	10:14	0:59
N. Nesterenko	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	10:11	0:00
R. Johnston	LW	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	10	9:48	0:00
F. Vatrano	RW	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	9:33	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	1	1	0	1	2	-1	0	23:56	3:41
J. Trouba	D	0	1	1	0	3	2	-1	0	22:50	0:59
I. Moore	D	0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	17:27	0:00
D. Helleson	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	2	16:30	0:00
O. Zellweger	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	19:39	0:46
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	13:50	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	32	27	5	.844	59:21	Loss
P. Mrazek	0	0	0	–	0:00

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. DeBrincat	RW	2	1	3	6	0	1	+1	2	18:26	2:56
D. Larkin	C	1	1	2	4	0	0	+1	0	20:04	3:00
L. Raymond	LW	0	2	2	2	0	0	+1	0	18:25	3:14
M. Rasmussen	C	1	1	2	2	1	0	+2	0	13:16	1:01
P. Kane	RW	0	2	2	1	0	0	-2	0	12:47	2:28
J. Berggren	RW	0	2	2	2	1	1	+2	2	11:05	0:13
A. Copp	C	0	1	1	3	0	0	+1	0	12:36	0:00
J. Compher	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	16:20	0:00
M. Kasper	C	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	2	14:23	1:03
E. Finnie	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	-2	0	12:28	0:57
M. Appleton	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:08	0:00
N. Danielson	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:13	0:59
M. Seider	D	1	1	2	4	1	3	0	0	25:03	2:03
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	13:43	2:02
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	1	2	4	+1	0	26:56	0:00
S. Edvinsson	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	14	23:25	0:00
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	0	0	0	4	2	+1	0	14:40	0:00
A. Johansson	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	13:02	0:29

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	17	15	2	.882	40:00
C. Talbot	11	10	1	.909	20:00	Win

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1L. Carlsson15:59T. Terry14:21C. Kreider12:43

Line 2C. Gauthier10:40B. Sennecke12:32M. McTavish9:15

Line 3A. Killorn10:51M. Granlund9:25N. Nesterenko9:01

Line 4R. Johnston9:48F. Vatrano9:14R. Strome12:20

Pair 1J. Trouba16:27O. Zellweger15:53

Pair 2P. Mintyukov12:39I. Moore15:23

Pair 3J. LaCombe15:05D. Helleson14:44

DET

Line 1D. Larkin12:52L. Raymond12:39A. DeBrincat13:14

Line 2J. Compher13:31E. Finnie9:58P. Kane9:35

Line 3M. Appleton10:31M. Kasper11:08N. Danielson9:43

Line 4A. Copp10:59M. Rasmussen10:18J. Berggren10:52

Pair 1S. Edvinsson19:40M. Seider18:21

Pair 2B. Chiarot21:51A. Sandin-Pellikka10:43

Pair 3J. Bernard-Docker10:12A. Johansson10:13

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamJohn Gibson DET Faces ANA, his team until Apr 202515 saves on 17

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 3.0, DET 3.5	ANA 3, DET 6
Total goals	6.5	9
Shots on goal	ANA 26.9, DET 32.2	ANA 28, DET 33
Win chance	DET 58%	DET won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.3	6	0.89	3	32%	2
ANA C. Gauthier	3.3	3	0.86	1	30%	1
DET D. Larkin	3.1	4	1.04	2	36%	1
DET P. Kane	2.7	1	0.85	2	26%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.4	2	0.93	2	28%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.3	4	0.84	0	27%	0
DET M. Seider	2.3	4	0.59	2	10%	1
ANA C. Kreider	2.1	2	0.67	1	33%	1
ANA L. Carlsson	2.1	3	0.85	0	27%	0
DET M. Kasper	2.0	4	0.50	0	22%	0
ANA M. McTavish	2.0	0	0.62	0	22%	0
DET E. Finnie	2.0	1	0.61	0	23%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.8	0	0.31	0	8%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.8	0	0.57	1	12%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.7	0	0.38	1	8%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	1.7	2	0.37	0	18%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.6	4	0.51	0	22%	0
ANA M. Granlund	1.6	2	0.66	1	17%	1
ANA B. Sennecke	1.4	4	0.55	1	21%	0
DET J. Berggren	1.4	2	0.42	2	19%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.4	1	0.42	0	11%	0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	1.4	1	0.27	1	6%	1
ANA N. Nesterenko	1.4	0	0.38	0	15%	0
DET B. Chiarot	1.4	1	0.22	0	6%	0
ANA R. Strome	1.3	1	0.44	1	13%	0
DET M. Appleton	1.3	0	0.35	0	13%	0
DET J. Compher	1.3	1	0.45	0	18%	0
ANA D. Helleson	1.2	1	0.35	1	8%	0
DET A. Copp	1.2	3	0.43	1	15%	0
DET M. Rasmussen	1.1	2	0.28	2	13%	1
DET A. Johansson	1.0	0	0.18	0	5%	0
ANA I. Moore	1.0	1	0.18	1	5%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.9	0	0.18	0	4%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	0.8	1	0.26	0	4%	0
ANA R. Johnston	0.4	0	0.14	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.