Game Recap: ANA 0, MIN 2, November 15, 2025

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Game Recap

ANA0

FinalSat, Nov 15, 2025Every game that night

MIN2

MIN beat ANA 2-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.35 expected goals to 2.51. M. Boldy led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). K. Kaprizov had 9 shots on goal against our projection of 3.6. J. Wallstedt stopped 28 of 28.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	0	0	0	0
MIN	0	1	1	2

2nd 0:55MINM. Johansson0.13 xG
3rd 19:05MINM. BoldyEN0.63 xG

Team Stats

ANAMIN

28Shots on goal30

2.51Expected goals3.35

48Shot attempts57

215v5 shots on goal18

0/2Power play0/7

20Hits18

13Blocked shots7

12Penalty minutes4

12Giveaways21

3Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 2.51 xGMIN 3.35 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA28 on goal, 0 scored

MIN27 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Carlsson	C	2	2	0	-1	2	21:51	2:49
A. Killorn	LW	1	2	0	0	0	19:14	1:11
T. Terry	RW	1	0	0	0	0	18:56	2:49
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	-1	0	17:26	2:49
B. Sennecke	RW	3	2	1	-2	0	15:23	1:11
C. Gauthier	LW	3	0	0	-2	0	14:36	2:49
F. Vatrano	RW	2	1	2	0	0	13:32	0:00
M. McTavish	C	2	0	0	-1	6	12:17	1:11
N. Nesterenko	C	1	4	0	0	4	12:04	0:00
R. Strome	C	3	0	2	-1	0	11:31	1:11
J. Harkins	C	1	3	0	0	0	8:43	0:00
R. Johnston	LW	0	2	0	0	0	7:35	0:00
J. Trouba	D	3	1	2	-1	0	24:57	1:11
J. LaCombe	D	2	0	1	-2	0	23:32	2:49
D. Helleson	D	2	2	2	0	0	18:39	0:00
O. Zellweger	D	1	0	1	0	0	16:37	0:00
I. Moore	D	1	1	1	0	0	15:53	0:00
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	1	0	0	15:09	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
P. Mrazek	29	28	1	.966	58:05	Loss
L. Dostal	0	0	0	–	0:00

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Boldy	LW	1	1	2	5	1	1	+2	0	25:31	9:14
J. Eriksson Ek	C	0	1	1	3	0	0	+1	0	24:17	8:35
M. Johansson	LW	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	2	18:50	4:45
R. Hartman	RW	0	1	1	0	2	0	+1	2	17:49	5:26
K. Kaprizov	LW	0	0	0	9	0	0	+1	0	22:39	9:25
M. Zuccarello	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	20:35	9:31
Y. Trenin	C	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	12:27	0:13
M. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	11:45	0:04
D. Yurov	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	9:45	2:24
B. Jones	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	8:56	0:00
V. Hinostroza	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8:22	2:46
L. Ohgren	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	6:06	0:00
J. Middleton	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	+2	0	16:36	0:10
B. Faber	D	0	0	0	4	0	1	+1	0	26:52	4:31
J. Brodin	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	22:01	0:04
Z. Buium	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	18:18	9:25
J. Spurgeon	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	17:34	3:27
D. Hunt	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	7:37	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Wallstedt	28	28	0	1.000	60:00	Win
F. Gustavsson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1L. Carlsson12:14C. Kreider13:30T. Terry9:58

Line 2M. McTavish10:25B. Sennecke13:05C. Gauthier8:52

Line 3F. Vatrano8:21R. Johnston7:35J. Harkins7:55

Line 4A. Killorn10:57R. Strome9:32N. Nesterenko8:03

Pair 1J. Trouba15:01O. Zellweger16:11

Pair 2J. LaCombe11:44D. Helleson13:02

Pair 3P. Mintyukov9:15I. Moore14:45

MIN

Line 1J. Ek13:01M. Boldy12:34M. Johansson13:22

Line 2R. Hartman12:06M. Zuccarello11:04K. Kaprizov11:36

Line 3M. Foligno9:24Y. Trenin10:19B. Jones8:25

Line 4V. Hinostroza5:36L. Ohgren6:06D. Yurov7:21

Pair 1J. Brodin18:43B. Faber19:01

Pair 2J. Spurgeon11:33J. Middleton13:44

Pair 3D. Hunt7:37Z. Buium8:53

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownJackson LaCombe ANA Plays near home (born in Eden Prairie)2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 3.0, MIN 3.3	ANA 0, MIN 2
Total goals	6.3	2
Shots on goal	ANA 28.8, MIN 31.3	ANA 28, MIN 30
Win chance	MIN 55%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.6	9	1.40	0	47%	0
MIN M. Boldy	3.3	5	1.04	2	34%	1
ANA C. Gauthier	3.3	3	0.80	0	29%	0
MIN J. Ek	3.3	3	0.80	1	29%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.4	1	0.78	0	26%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.3	0	0.53	1	22%	0
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.3	1	0.94	0	25%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.2	2	0.81	0	27%	0
ANA C. Kreider	2.1	0	0.63	0	32%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.9	1	0.30	0	7%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.9	2	0.56	0	11%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.9	4	0.37	0	9%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.8	2	0.53	0	20%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.8	3	0.38	0	7%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.8	1	0.52	0	12%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.7	1	0.47	0	20%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	1.6	2	0.32	0	17%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	1.6	3	0.54	0	20%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.6	2	0.49	1	16%	1
MIN J. Brodin	1.4	0	0.37	0	8%	0
MIN Z. Buium	1.4	0	0.33	0	5%	0
ANA R. Strome	1.3	3	0.41	0	12%	0
MIN V. Hinostroza	1.3	0	0.31	0	13%	0
MIN J. Middleton	1.3	0	0.27	1	7%	0
ANA N. Nesterenko	1.3	1	0.33	0	14%	0
ANA D. Helleson	1.3	2	0.34	0	7%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.2	0	0.24	0	12%	0
MIN L. Ohgren	1.2	1	0.21	0	10%	0
MIN M. Foligno	1.1	1	0.35	0	16%	0
ANA I. Moore	1.1	1	0.22	0	5%	0
MIN D. Yurov	0.9	2	0.22	0	13%	0
MIN B. Jones	0.9	1	0.06	0	5%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	0.9	0	0.24	0	4%	0
MIN D. Hunt	0.8	0	0.17	0	3%	0
ANA J. Harkins	0.7	1	0.12	0	6%	0
ANA R. Johnston	0.4	0	0.13	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.