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Game Recap
ARI2
FinalMon, Dec 11, 2023Every game that night
BUF5

BUF beat ARI 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 5.14 expected goals to 1.78. BUF outshot ARI 38 to 23. E. Robinson led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). D. Levi stopped 21 of 23.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
ARI0112
BUF1315
  1. 1st 2:25BUFK. Okposo0.41 xG
  2. 2nd 3:01ARIM. Kesselring0.14 xG
  3. 2nd 6:14BUFE. Robinson0.22 xG
  4. 2nd 10:52BUFP. Krebs0.10 xG
  5. 2nd 15:06BUFJ. Peterka0.17 xG
  6. 3rd 12:47ARIM. CarconeSH0.18 xG
  7. 3rd 18:55BUFR. DahlinEN0.61 xG

Team Stats

ARIBUF
23Shots on goal38
1.78Expected goals5.14
40Shot attempts60
195v5 shots on goal35
0/3Power play0/2
27Hits21
11Blocked shots9
4Penalty minutes6
6Giveaways5
5Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 1.78 xGBUF 5.14 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdBUF goal, 2:25ARI goal, 3:01BUF goal, 6:14BUF goal, 10:52BUF goal, 15:06ARI goal, 12:47BUF goal, 18:55

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI23 on goal, 2 scored
BUF38 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MaccelliLW011400-1019:561:37
L. CooleyC011101-2218:352:45
M. CarconeLW101120-1012:150:00
M. KelemenLW011011-108:220:00
C. KellerRW000001-2220:542:57
J. ZuckerLW000100-1020:281:47
N. SchmaltzC0001000019:062:55
N. BjugstadC000450-1017:441:34
L. CrouseLW000331-1017:361:32
A. KerfootC000201-2014:452:46
L. O'BrienC0000400011:270:00
J. MoserD011120+1020:420:00
M. KesselringD1012210011:070:11
M. DumbaD000031+1021:312:42
J. VälimäkiD000110-1019:321:49
T. StecherD000101-2017:490:00
T. DermottD000101-2012:290:00
J. BrownD000042-2012:030:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka37334.89259:39Loss
C. Ingram000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. OkposoRW123231+3013:200:38
E. RobinsonLW123500+4012:540:00
J. PeterkaRW101400+1016:440:44
J. SkinnerLW0111000016:071:51
P. KrebsC101211+4014:500:00
D. CozensC000521-1017:361:47
C. MittelstadtC000301+1217:321:22
T. ThompsonC000320-1216:421:48
Z. BensonLW000021+1214:450:00
V. OlofssonLW000110-1012:291:05
T. JostC000300-1011:500:00
B. MurrayLW000130-1010:470:00
R. DahlinD112421+1023:101:57
C. CliftonD022130+2017:110:00
O. PowerD000201+1022:300:43
H. JokiharjuD000010+1021:550:36
R. JohnsonD000001-1017:500:04
E. JohnsonD000111+2015:480:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi23212.91360:00Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamJason Zucker BUF Faces ARI, his team until Mar 20241 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.