Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
ARI2
FinalSat, Oct 22, 2022Every game that night
OTT6

OTT beat ARI 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.13 expected goals to 1.53. OTT outshot ARI 32 to 22. B. Tkachuk led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Forsberg stopped 20 of 22.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
ARI0202
OTT2136
  1. 1st 4:40OTTS. Pinto0.18 xG
  2. 1st 6:17OTTJ. Norris0.08 xG
  3. 2nd 1:40ARID. GuentherPP0.24 xG
  4. 2nd 3:25OTTB. TkachukPP0.08 xG
  5. 2nd 3:47ARIC. Keller0.05 xG
  6. 3rd 6:15OTTM. Kastelic0.08 xG
  7. 3rd 7:02OTTT. Motte0.23 xG
  8. 3rd 12:08OTTB. Tkachuk0.16 xG

Team Stats

ARIOTT
22Shots on goal32
1.53Expected goals3.13
40Shot attempts54
155v5 shots on goal24
1/5Power play1/4
24Hits28
14Blocked shots11
17Penalty minutes19
14Giveaways12
3Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 1.53 xGOTT 3.13 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTT goal, 4:40OTT goal, 6:17ARI goal, 1:40OTT goal, 3:25ARI goal, 3:47OTT goal, 6:15OTT goal, 7:02OTT goal, 12:08

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI21 on goal, 2 scored
OTT32 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. KellerRW1012000020:126:06
T. BoydC011001-1018:186:07
M. MaccelliLW011000-1014:213:34
D. GuentherRW101211-1013:003:34
L. CrouseLW0000410018:003:13
N. RitchieLW000331-1216:586:28
B. HaytonC000200-1015:593:41
J. McBainC000220-2212:450:00
N. BjugstadC0001200012:320:00
C. FischerRW000000-1012:080:00
Z. KassianRW000020-209:400:00
L. O'BrienC000021-279:230:00
J. VälimäkiD0111110017:473:45
J. MoserD000110-3023:585:57
S. GostisbehereD000513-1223:366:05
J. BrownD0001310218:070:00
T. StecherD000111-1017:320:00
D. MayoD000113-3215:170:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka32266.81359:59Loss
C. Ingram000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. MotteC112130+2018:552:55
T. StützleC022110+1417:452:22
D. BathersonRW022510+1017:132:37
S. PintoC112100+1216:362:24
B. TkachukLW202410+1216:013:10
A. DeBrincatRW0111110215:312:43
J. NorrisC101211+1014:322:30
M. KastelicC101130+158:050:27
M. JosephRW000120+2015:370:43
C. GirouxRW0002000014:192:19
A. WatsonLW000031+109:110:23
P. KellyC000020+108:110:47
J. SandersonD022101+1017:111:35
A. ZubD011151+2024:571:18
T. ChabotD000520+3222:313:33
N. HoldenD000122+1018:250:00
T. HamonicD0003010216:150:04
E. BrannstromD000213+1014:470:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg22202.90960:00Win
M. Hellberg000–0:00