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Game Recap
BOS5
FinalTue, Nov 14, 2023Every game that night
BUF2

BOS beat BUF 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.88 expected goals to 3.13. D. Pastrnak led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). L. Ullmark stopped 32 of 34.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BOS3205
BUF0112
  1. 1st 3:01BOSD. Heinen0.26 xG
  2. 1st 4:09BOSD. Pastrnak0.15 xG
  3. 1st 15:14BOSB. Carlo0.19 xG
  4. 2nd 4:07BOSO. Steen0.12 xG
  5. 2nd 12:23BOSH. LindholmPP0.03 xG
  6. 2nd 15:07BUFV. Olofsson0.30 xG
  7. 3rd 15:02BUFV. Olofsson0.14 xG

Team Stats

BOSBUF
32Shots on goal34
3.88Expected goals3.13
59Shot attempts64
215v5 shots on goal26
1/3Power play0/2
17Hits18
10Blocked shots16
6Penalty minutes6
6Giveaways5
4Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 3.88 xGBUF 3.13 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdBOS goal, 3:01BOS goal, 4:09BOS goal, 15:14BOS goal, 4:07BOS goal, 12:23BUF goal, 15:07BUF goal, 15:02

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS32 on goal, 5 scored
BUF34 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. PastrnakRW123300+1017:353:23
P. ZachaC022110+2017:272:51
B. MarchandLW0114000017:033:11
M. PoitrasC011111+1415:072:24
D. HeinenLW101311+1013:120:00
J. LaukoC0110200011:300:19
O. SteenC1012120010:030:00
C. CoyleC000220-1018:352:59
J. DeBruskLW000100+1017:482:33
J. van RiemsdykLW0004000014:412:40
T. FredericC0001210014:060:06
J. BeecherC0000300010:500:00
C. McAvoyD022110+1224:213:03
H. LindholmD101500+1022:072:42
B. CarloD101201+2019:340:00
M. LohreiD000111+1019:510:00
D. ForbortD0000220016:100:09
K. ShattenkirkD000101-1015:132:25
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Ullmark34322.94159:21Win
J. Swayman000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
V. OlofssonLW202310+1013:581:14
C. MittelstadtC0110000219:043:01
J. PeterkaRW0113000018:191:16
D. CozensC011600-1217:382:59
J. GreenwayLW0001020018:060:00
K. OkposoRW0004010017:520:12
J. SkinnerLW000400-2015:483:12
Z. GirgensonsC0002520015:480:12
P. KrebsC0000000015:480:27
T. JostC000130-1010:070:00
L. RousekRW000001009:210:00
T. ThompsonC000101-205:382:00
O. PowerD011210-1021:391:06
M. SamuelssonD000245-1024:360:00
R. DahlinD0001210023:442:33
C. CliftonD000311-3016:210:00
R. JohnsonD000000+1015:580:12
E. JohnsonD0001120214:410:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi18135.72235:07Loss
U. Luukkonen141401.00022:42

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamCasey Mittelstadt BOS Faces BUF, his team until Mar 20241 A, 0 SOG
  • Old teamJJ Peterka BOS Faces BUF, his team until Apr 20251 A, 3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.