Game Recap: BOS 3, CBJ 2, April 12, 2026

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Game Recap

BOS3

FinalSun, Apr 12, 2026Every game that night

CBJ2

BOS beat CBJ 3-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.29 expected goals to 3.62. CBJ outshot BOS 35 to 22. S. Kuraly led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). Z. Werenski had 8 shots on goal against our projection of 3.3. J. Korpisalo stopped 33 of 35.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	1	1	1	3
CBJ	1	0	1	2

1st 3:59CBJM. Marchment0.06 xG
1st 10:31BOSS. Kuraly0.12 xG
2nd 19:41BOSH. Jokiharju0.04 xG
3rd 1:27CBJA. Fantilli0.20 xG
3rd 10:22BOSM. Kastelic0.05 xG

Team Stats

BOSCBJ

22Shots on goal35

2.29Expected goals3.62

44Shot attempts68

215v5 shots on goal28

0/0Power play0/3

12Hits20

11Blocked shots4

6Penalty minutes0

14Giveaways13

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.29 xGCBJ 3.62 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS21 on goal, 3 scored

CBJ35 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
S. Kuraly	C	1	2	3	2	3	1	+3	0	14:54	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	1	1	2	2	0	0	+3	0	15:12	0:00
J. Hagens	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	2	13:08	0:00
E. Lindholm	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	16:51	0:00
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	0	16:49	0:00
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	0	16:45	0:00
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	15:53	0:00
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:38	0:00
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	14:19	0:00
L. Reichel	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	12:19	0:00
A. Steeves	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	+2	2	11:13	0:00
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	10:35	0:00
H. Jokiharju	D	1	1	2	2	1	0	0	0	19:57	0:00
J. Harris	D	0	1	1	0	1	2	+1	0	18:45	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	23:27	0:00
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	21:35	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	19:19	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1	0	17:21	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Korpisalo	35	33	2	.943	60:00	Win
J. Swayman	0	0	0	–	0:00

CBJ Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
M. Marchment	LW	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	22:36	5:15
A. Fantilli	C	1	0	1	4	1	0	-1	22:10	4:37
B. Jenner	C	0	1	1	1	2	0	+1	15:00	0:00
D. Heinen	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+2	13:47	0:00
K. Marchenko	RW	0	0	0	3	5	0	-1	22:28	5:29
C. Coyle	C	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	17:36	4:38
S. Monahan	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	-1	14:57	1:22
K. Johnson	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	14:57	1:23
I. Lundestrom	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	12:36	0:00
C. Sillinger	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	11:58	0:00
M. Wood	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-2	10:20	0:00
C. Garland	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	10:05	0:31
D. Fabbro	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	17:46	0:00
Z. Werenski	D	0	0	0	8	0	0	+1	30:27	5:14
I. Provorov	D	0	0	0	2	1	2	-1	26:56	0:46
D. Mateychuk	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	18:34	0:45
E. Gudbranson	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	14:49	0:00
E. Zamula	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4:20	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Greaves	22	19	3	.864	58:38	Loss
E. Merzlikins	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1D. Pastrnak15:23M. Geekie15:46E. Lindholm13:24

Line 2M. Khusnutdinov14:10J. Hagens13:08F. Minten13:13

Line 3C. Mittelstadt13:59L. Reichel12:19M. Eyssimont10:35

Line 4S. Kuraly12:02M. Kastelic12:20A. Steeves11:13

Pair 1A. Peeke17:48M. Lohrei19:19

Pair 2N. Zadorov18:28H. Jokiharju19:05

Pair 3J. Harris16:02J. Aspirot14:56

CBJ

Line 1K. Marchenko15:37A. Fantilli16:11I. Lundestrom12:36

Line 2B. Jenner15:00M. Marchment15:59D. Heinen13:47

Line 3C. Coyle11:36C. Sillinger11:58C. Garland9:34

Line 4S. Monahan12:13M. Wood10:20K. Johnson13:34

Pair 1I. Provorov26:10D. Mateychuk17:49

Pair 2Z. Werenski23:51D. Fabbro17:46

Pair 3E. Gudbranson14:49E. Zamula4:20

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamCharlie Coyle CBJ Faces BOS, his team until Mar 20254 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 3.1, CBJ 3.2	BOS 3, CBJ 2
Total goals	6.3	5
Shots on goal	BOS 26.0, CBJ 30.2	BOS 22, CBJ 35
Win chance	CBJ 53%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CBJ Z. Werenski	3.3	8	1.05	0	21%	0
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.2	3	1.21	0	38%	0
CBJ K. Marchenko	2.8	3	0.84	0	31%	0
CBJ A. Fantilli	2.7	4	0.75	1	28%	1
CBJ B. Jenner	2.0	1	0.50	1	22%	0
CBJ M. Marchment	2.0	2	0.72	1	26%	1
CBJ C. Coyle	2.0	4	0.71	0	24%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.0	1	0.69	0	28%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.7	0	0.59	0	22%	0
CBJ C. Sillinger	1.7	2	0.40	0	13%	0
CBJ S. Monahan	1.7	1	0.53	0	19%	0
BOS M. Eyssimont	1.6	2	0.23	0	10%	0
CBJ I. Provorov	1.6	2	0.39	0	8%	0
CBJ C. Garland	1.6	1	0.39	0	16%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.5	1	0.43	0	19%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.3	0	0.27	0	8%	0
CBJ K. Johnson	1.2	2	0.35	0	13%	0
CBJ M. Wood	1.2	2	0.21	0	11%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	1	0.55	0	17%	0
CBJ D. Mateychuk	1.1	1	0.39	0	12%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.1	2	0.20	3	9%	1
BOS A. Peeke	1.1	1	0.19	0	5%	0
CBJ D. Heinen	1.1	0	0.31	1	14%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.0	2	0.28	0	13%	0
CBJ D. Fabbro	1.0	1	0.24	1	7%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.0	1	0.30	0	8%	0
CBJ E. Gudbranson	1.0	1	0.21	0	4%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.0	0	0.36	0	14%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	0.9	2	0.18	2	9%	1
BOS H. Jokiharju	0.9	2	0.22	2	4%	1
BOS L. Reichel	0.9	2	0.28	0	11%	0
CBJ I. Lundestrom	0.8	0	0.20	0	8%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.8	1	0.21	0	6%	0
BOS J. Harris	0.8	0	0.20	1	6%	0
CBJ E. Zamula	0.5	0	0.15	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 25 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.