Game Recap: BOS 3, NSH 6, March 5, 2026

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Game Recap

BOS3

FinalThu, Mar 5, 2026Every game that night

NSH6

NSH beat BOS 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.84 expected goals to 2.54. F. Forsberg led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). J. Saros stopped 20 of 23.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	0	1	2	3
NSH	1	4	1	6

1st 13:53NSHN. Hague0.03 xG
2nd 1:24NSHM. WoodSH0.20 xG
2nd 3:30BOSM. GeekiePP0.12 xG
2nd 10:18NSHE. Haula0.38 xG
2nd 12:37NSHF. ForsbergPP0.06 xG
2nd 14:44NSHM. Wood0.16 xG
3rd 6:05BOSC. McAvoy0.10 xG
3rd 15:32BOSV. Arvidsson0.11 xG
3rd 17:33NSHL. EvangelistaEN0.72 xG

Team Stats

BOSNSH

23Shots on goal29

2.54Expected goals3.84

59Shot attempts48

175v5 shots on goal16

1/4Power play1/5

27Hits23

15Blocked shots18

10Penalty minutes10

14Giveaways10

3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.54 xGNSH 3.84 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS23 on goal, 3 scored

NSH28 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
P. Zacha	C	0	2	2	1	2	1	0	0	14:17	2:49
V. Arvidsson	LW	1	1	2	3	0	0	+2	0	12:55	2:57
E. Lindholm	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	-3	0	15:29	2:07
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	14:30	3:05
M. Geekie	C	1	0	1	2	1	0	-3	0	13:56	2:57
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-3	2	18:02	3:30
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	17:17	3:06
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-2	0	15:03	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-2	2	14:59	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	0	5	2	-3	4	14:07	0:06
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	12:52	0:00
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	9:17	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	1	1	2	2	0	2	0	0	23:47	2:25
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	24:30	3:10
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	3	5	0	-1	0	20:04	0:05
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	-1	0	16:34	0:00
J. Harris	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	16:03	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	0	0	5	-1	0	15:18	2:44

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Korpisalo	28	23	5	.821	59:16	Loss
J. Swayman	0	0	0	–	0:00

NSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
F. Forsberg	LW	1	2	3	6	0	0	+2	0	17:12	6:18
S. Stamkos	C	0	2	2	1	2	0	0	0	17:58	6:14
M. Wood	RW	2	0	2	3	0	0	+2	2	14:22	3:21
E. Haula	LW	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	4	18:58	5:25
L. Evangelista	RW	1	0	1	3	0	1	+2	0	17:05	4:46
F. Svechkov	C	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	2	13:08	0:09
O. Wiesblatt	C	0	1	1	0	8	0	0	0	12:04	0:01
J. Marchessault	RW	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	16:37	5:51
T. Jost	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	15:30	0:00
Z. L'Heureux	LW	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	14:57	2:22
J. Kemell	RW	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	12:24	3:22
R. Schaefer	LW	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	10:33	0:06
R. Josi	D	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	0	23:23	6:28
N. Hague	D	1	0	1	1	2	3	+2	2	20:57	0:00
B. Skjei	D	0	1	1	1	0	2	+2	0	19:56	0:14
N. Perbix	D	0	1	1	1	1	3	+2	0	17:37	0:06
R. Ufko	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	14:23	3:57
J. Barron	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	14:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Saros	23	20	3	.870	60:00	Win
J. Annunen	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1E. Lindholm10:58D. Pastrnak13:07M. Khusnutdinov10:48

Line 2V. Arvidsson9:58C. Mittelstadt11:00P. Zacha10:46

Line 3S. Kuraly10:04M. Kastelic10:01T. Jeannot10:29

Line 4F. Minten10:56M. Eyssimont9:17M. Geekie10:41

Pair 1A. Peeke13:59J. Harris14:59

Pair 2N. Zadorov16:07C. McAvoy14:45

Pair 3H. Lindholm13:26M. Lohrei12:34

NSH

Line 1E. Haula11:24J. Marchessault10:46S. Stamkos10:59

Line 2O. Wiesblatt10:11R. Schaefer10:27F. Svechkov12:48

Line 3F. Forsberg10:36M. Wood10:32L. Evangelista11:35

Line 4T. Jost11:16Z. L'Heureux10:36J. Kemell7:19

Pair 1J. Barron14:39N. Hague18:07

Pair 2B. Skjei14:38N. Perbix13:46

Pair 3R. Josi13:50R. Ufko10:26

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 3.3, NSH 3.2	BOS 3, NSH 6
Total goals	6.5	9
Shots on goal	BOS 27.3, NSH 30.9	BOS 23, NSH 29
Win chance	BOS 52%	NSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.9	3	1.39	0	42%	0
NSH F. Forsberg	3.5	6	0.96	3	37%	1
NSH R. Josi	3.1	3	0.95	1	21%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.7	3	0.62	2	23%	1
NSH S. Stamkos	2.7	1	0.86	2	35%	0
NSH J. Marchessault	2.5	5	0.67	0	29%	0
NSH L. Evangelista	2.4	3	0.66	1	17%	1
BOS M. Geekie	2.3	2	0.86	1	32%	1
BOS E. Lindholm	1.9	1	0.72	1	23%	0
NSH E. Haula	1.8	1	0.43	1	17%	1
BOS M. Eyssimont	1.7	1	0.25	0	10%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.6	2	0.72	2	12%	1
NSH B. Skjei	1.6	1	0.38	1	9%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.6	1	0.45	0	9%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	1	0.63	2	19%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.5	2	0.52	0	20%	0
NSH T. Jost	1.3	0	0.23	0	9%	0
NSH M. Wood	1.3	3	0.28	2	13%	2
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.3	1	0.57	1	18%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.2	0	0.25	0	10%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.2	0	0.26	0	12%	0
NSH Z. L'Heureux	1.2	1	0.22	0	9%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.1	3	0.30	0	8%	0
NSH N. Hague	1.1	1	0.23	1	5%	1
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.1	1	0.39	0	15%	0
NSH N. Perbix	1.0	1	0.25	1	6%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.0	0	0.36	0	7%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.0	1	0.28	0	11%	0
NSH F. Svechkov	0.9	0	0.20	1	8%	0
BOS A. Peeke	0.9	0	0.21	0	4%	0
NSH R. Schaefer	0.9	1	0.22	0	11%	0
NSH J. Barron	0.7	0	0.17	0	5%	0
NSH O. Wiesblatt	0.7	0	0.14	1	6%	0
BOS J. Harris	0.7	1	0.22	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 25 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.