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Game Recap
BOS3
FinalThu, Nov 13, 2025Every game that night
OTT5

OTT beat BOS 5-3, with the chances close: 3.02 expected goals to 2.44. T. Stützle led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). L. Meriläinen stopped 18 of 21.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BOS0123
OTT2035
  1. 1st 1:28OTTC. GirouxPP0.13 xG
  2. 1st 19:03OTTD. Cozens0.10 xG
  3. 2nd 11:49BOSM. Geekie0.19 xG
  4. 3rd 1:06OTTS. Pinto0.09 xG
  5. 3rd 3:49BOSD. PastrnakPP0.62 xG
  6. 3rd 5:15BOSM. Kastelic0.23 xG
  7. 3rd 14:17OTTT. Stützle0.10 xG
  8. 3rd 19:42OTTT. StützleEN0.92 xG

Team Stats

BOSOTT
21Shots on goal22
2.44Expected goals3.02
50Shot attempts50
145v5 shots on goal17
1/2Power play1/2
30Hits26
18Blocked shots19
9Penalty minutes9
23Giveaways16
6Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.44 xGOTT 3.02 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTT goal, 1:28OTT goal, 19:03BOS goal, 11:49OTT goal, 1:06BOS goal, 3:49BOS goal, 5:15OTT goal, 14:17OTT goal, 19:42

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS20 on goal, 3 scored
OTT22 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. PastrnakRW1123310020:053:38
M. GeekieC1123100019:102:57
V. ArvidssonLW011102-2017:392:58
M. KhusnutdinovC0111320015:450:40
M. KastelicC101150+1015:310:00
T. JeannotLW011121+1513:080:00
P. ZachaC000222-2018:582:58
F. MintenC000000+1016:360:00
A. SteevesC000142-1013:430:40
M. EyssimontC000101-2011:570:41
S. KuralyC000100-2011:110:00
J. VielLW000130-2210:190:00
C. McAvoyD0002110025:052:55
N. ZadorovD000221-1022:270:00
H. LindholmD000001-1020:220:43
A. PeekeD000020+1018:570:00
M. LohreiD000023-1214:280:00
H. JokiharjuD000101-1013:410:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Korpisalo21174.81058:10Loss
J. Swayman000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. StützleC213322+2018:522:11
C. GirouxRW1122400015:571:42
D. CozensC1122300014:571:49
S. PintoC1011010018:470:44
F. ZetterlundLW0112210018:330:51
D. BathersonRW011131+2017:251:43
R. GreigC011211+1017:230:37
M. AmadioRW0111100014:570:00
D. PerronLW000101+1014:190:58
N. CousinsC0000300012:350:00
L. EllerC0000000010:120:23
K. MacDermidLW000010054:210:00
J. SandersonD011303+2023:331:51
A. ZubD011223+1423:070:14
N. MatinpaloD011024+2020:160:00
T. KlevenD000212-1020:380:00
J. SpenceD000000+1018:280:57
N. JensenD000010-1012:020:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Meriläinen21183.85760:00Win
L. Ullmark000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1F. Minten15:40M. Kastelic14:02T. Jeannot12:37
Line 2M. Geekie14:23D. Pastrnak14:37M. Khusnutdinov13:15
Line 3P. Zacha12:34A. Steeves13:03V. Arvidsson12:51
Line 4S. Kuraly10:07M. Eyssimont11:16J. Viel10:19
Pair 1N. Zadorov20:26C. McAvoy18:22
Pair 2H. Lindholm18:49A. Peeke18:10
Pair 3H. Jokiharju13:41M. Lohrei14:28

OTT

Line 1D. Batherson15:10T. Stützle15:04D. Perron13:21
Line 2M. Amadio14:07S. Pinto14:09C. Giroux12:16
Line 3F. Zetterlund17:42D. Cozens13:08R. Greig12:50
Line 4L. Eller9:49N. Cousins12:35K. MacDermid4:21
Pair 1A. Zub21:34J. Sanderson18:29
Pair 2T. Kleven19:05J. Spence16:41
Pair 3N. Jensen11:20N. Matinpalo16:59

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamLinus Ullmark OTT Faces BOS, his team until May 20240 saves on 0

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreBOS 2.9, OTT 3.1BOS 3, OTT 5
Total goals6.08
Shots on goalBOS 25.1, OTT 29.1BOS 21, OTT 22
Win chanceOTT 53%OTT won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
BOS D. Pastrnak3.631.24242%1
BOS V. Arvidsson2.510.60123%0
OTT D. Batherson2.410.83126%0
OTT S. Pinto2.410.71128%1
OTT T. Stützle2.330.93327%2
OTT D. Cozens2.320.65222%1
OTT J. Sanderson2.230.5919%0
BOS M. Geekie2.130.76230%1
BOS M. Eyssimont1.810.27012%0
OTT F. Zetterlund1.820.36116%0
OTT C. Giroux1.720.69221%1
OTT D. Perron1.710.58022%0
OTT R. Greig1.720.48117%0
BOS C. McAvoy1.620.62010%0
BOS P. Zacha1.520.64020%0
BOS M. Kastelic1.410.29114%1
BOS S. Kuraly1.410.28013%0
BOS H. Lindholm1.400.3907%0
OTT M. Amadio1.310.45121%0
BOS F. Minten1.300.29015%0
OTT L. Eller1.200.32013%0
OTT T. Kleven1.220.1804%0
OTT J. Spence1.200.3704%0
BOS N. Zadorov1.120.2908%0
BOS T. Jeannot1.110.27113%0
OTT N. Cousins1.100.25010%0
BOS A. Peeke1.100.2203%0
OTT A. Zub1.120.3116%0
BOS A. Steeves1.010.27012%0
OTT N. Matinpalo0.900.1213%0
BOS J. Viel0.910.1308%0
BOS M. Lohrei0.900.3204%0
OTT N. Jensen0.900.2404%0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov0.810.25111%0
BOS H. Jokiharju0.810.1903%0
OTT K. MacDermid0.300.0603%0

Shots on goal: 27 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.