Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
BUF6
FinalMon, Mar 28, 2022Every game that night
CHI5

BUF beat CHI 6-5, and the chances backed it up: 2.91 expected goals to 1.60. BUF outshot CHI 37 to 21. V. Olofsson led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). D. Tokarski stopped 16 of 21.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0336
CHI3115
  1. 1st 7:53CHIC. de Haan0.02 xG
  2. 1st 13:44CHIS. Lafferty0.04 xG
  3. 1st 16:55CHIJ. ToewsPP0.11 xG
  4. 2nd 1:21CHIS. Jones0.15 xG
  5. 2nd 4:50BUFV. OlofssonPP0.01 xG
  6. 2nd 10:24BUFV. Olofsson0.14 xG
  7. 2nd 14:32BUFK. Okposo0.09 xG
  8. 3rd 2:39BUFV. Hinostroza0.01 xG
  9. 3rd 10:56CHIA. DeBrincatPP0.10 xG
  10. 3rd 17:46BUFA. Tuch0.19 xG
  11. 3rd 19:48BUFT. ThompsonPP0.05 xG

Team Stats

BUFCHI
37Shots on goal21
2.91Expected goals1.60
68Shot attempts38
355v5 shots on goal13
2/3Power play2/2
24Hits33
13Blocked shots21
4Penalty minutes6
7Giveaways12
10Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.91 xGCHI 1.60 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdCHI goal, 7:53CHI goal, 13:44CHI goal, 16:55CHI goal, 1:21BUF goal, 4:50BUF goal, 10:24BUF goal, 14:32BUF goal, 2:39CHI goal, 10:56BUF goal, 17:46BUF goal, 19:48

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF37 on goal, 6 scored
CHI21 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
V. OlofssonLW213500+1014:531:19
T. ThompsonC1123010017:583:04
A. TuchRW1122230016:053:04
D. CozensC0221100013:251:19
J. SkinnerLW011400+1018:163:04
C. MittelstadtC011310+1017:083:04
K. OkposoRW101310+1016:161:19
V. HinostrozaC1011400214:350:00
P. KrebsC0002020014:021:18
C. EakinC0000000013:450:00
R. AsplundC000010-1012:420:00
Z. GirgensonsC0001310012:280:00
R. DahlinD022520+2026:103:04
H. JokiharjuD011122+1022:361:19
W. ButcherD011101+1015:090:00
M. SamuelssonD000132-1018:090:00
C. FitzgeraldD0003410216:500:00
J. BrysonD000100-1016:440:01
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Tokarski21165.76260:00Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

CHI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. StromeC0221000217:482:30
A. DeBrincatRW1121220017:482:30
D. KubalikLW0220000013:320:19
S. LaffertyC101241+1018:310:00
P. KaneRW0112000018:012:30
R. JohnsonC0112510017:330:00
T. RaddyshRW011030-1017:102:30
J. ToewsC1012010015:120:19
P. KurashevC011000-1010:360:19
B. KatchoukLW0002500215:560:00
T. JohnsonC000020-108:250:19
H. BorgstromC000001-108:080:00
S. JonesD101521-1025:112:30
J. McCabeD011126-1023:460:00
C. de HaanD1012420021:390:00
C. JonesD000012+1217:250:00
R. StillmanD000023-1015:120:00
E. GustafssonD0001110013:580:19
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Lankinen37316.83859:46Loss
C. Delia000–0:00