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Game Recap
BUF3
Final/OTTue, Jan 17, 2023Every game that night
CHI4

CHI beat BUF 4-3 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.30 expected goals to 3.68. S. Jones led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). P. Mrazek stopped 30 of 33.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF21003
CHI10214
  1. 1st 8:41CHIC. Murphy0.13 xG
  2. 1st 12:15BUFV. Olofsson0.18 xG
  3. 1st 19:53BUFT. Thompson0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 6:21BUFP. KrebsSH0.17 xG
  5. 3rd 1:34CHIP. Kurashev0.09 xG
  6. 3rd 19:04CHIS. Jones0.03 xG
  7. OT 2:24CHIS. Jones0.13 xG

Team Stats

BUFCHI
33Shots on goal26
3.68Expected goals2.30
63Shot attempts54
285v5 shots on goal21
0/2Power play0/1
13Hits28
15Blocked shots12
10Penalty minutes4
5Giveaways10
11Takeaways13

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.68 xGCHI 2.30 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTCHI goal, 8:41BUF goal, 12:15BUF goal, 19:53BUF goal, 6:21CHI goal, 1:34CHI goal, 19:04CHI goal, 2:24

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF33 on goal, 3 scored
CHI26 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC1014200017:481:48
A. TuchRW0114000017:392:04
V. OlofssonLW101200-1016:382:27
J. SkinnerLW011101-1015:551:59
C. MittelstadtC011101-1015:422:12
P. KrebsC101120+1015:000:00
T. JostC011121-2014:450:00
K. OkposoRW000312+1015:360:00
J. PeterkaRW0002010015:112:01
Z. GirgensonsC0001100014:260:00
D. CozensC0001110014:081:33
J. QuinnRW0003000014:061:56
O. PowerD000211+2025:142:15
H. JokiharjuD000312+3023:230:30
R. DahlinD000303-21022:331:15
M. SamuelssonD000022-2021:200:00
I. LyubushkinD000100-1013:060:00
J. BrysonD000000-1012:420:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson26224.84662:24OT loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

CHI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. KurashevC123200+3020:250:39
T. JohnsonC022310+2017:350:39
J. ToewsC011000+1017:541:21
T. RaddyshRW011401+1016:351:21
P. KaneRW0001000019:131:24
M. DomiC0003000019:051:23
S. LaffertyC000430-1017:560:36
J. DickinsonC000022-2015:470:00
A. AthanasiouC000110-1014:580:37
C. BlackwellC000010008:590:00
R. JohnsonC000040008:300:00
M. EntwistleRW000010007:160:00
S. JonesD2134320023:521:21
C. MurphyD101124+1220:290:00
J. McCabeD000121-1020:280:00
J. JohnsonD0000310218:400:00
I. PhillipsD0002210018:330:00
C. JonesD000030+1017:380:39
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Mrazek33303.90961:43Win
J. Stauber000–0:00