Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
BUF2
FinalTue, Apr 9, 2024Every game that night
DAL3

DAL beat BUF 3-2, and the chances backed it up: 2.45 expected goals to 1.50. T. Harley led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). J. Oettinger stopped 19 of 21.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF2002
DAL1203
  1. 1st 4:09BUFA. Tuch0.13 xG
  2. 1st 6:15DALJ. Robertson0.07 xG
  3. 1st 9:38BUFR. Dahlin0.01 xG
  4. 2nd 3:38DALW. Johnston0.12 xG
  5. 2nd 7:08DALJ. Pavelski0.06 xG

Team Stats

BUFDAL
21Shots on goal24
1.50Expected goals2.45
53Shot attempts49
185v5 shots on goal22
0/3Power play0/2
24Hits23
8Blocked shots20
4Penalty minutes16
7Giveaways5
4Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.50 xGDAL 2.45 xGGoal

00.511.522.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 4:09DAL goal, 6:15BUF goal, 9:38DAL goal, 3:38DAL goal, 7:08

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF21 on goal, 2 scored
DAL24 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW1013100221:553:43
P. KrebsC011140+109:540:00
J. PeterkaRW0005100022:243:50
T. ThompsonC0000300021:503:33
D. CozensC000210-1016:132:17
J. QuinnRW0001110215:272:10
Z. BensonLW000130-1014:553:24
J. GreenwayLW000111+1014:170:00
J. SkinnerLW000100+1013:032:37
Z. GirgensonsC000000-1010:560:00
T. JostC000020-1010:360:00
L. RousekRW000000-209:290:00
O. PowerD0111010025:042:20
R. DahlinD1013310024:493:41
B. ByramD011001-1019:582:25
H. JokiharjuD011110-1019:250:00
C. CliftonD0000310014:150:00
J. BrysonD0001020013:280:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen24213.87558:02Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

DAL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
W. JohnstonC1012010016:301:58
J. PavelskiC101321+2014:531:45
R. HintzC011100+2014:531:23
J. RobertsonLW101330+1014:451:45
T. SeguinC000440-1017:082:20
M. DucheneC000202-1016:212:19
J. BennLW0001210015:591:28
M. MarchmentLW0002000015:032:15
S. SteelC0000000014:200:17
L. StankovenC0000000013:490:00
R. FaksaC0000500013:350:00
C. SmithC0001100410:340:17
T. HarleyD0221020021:511:43
C. TanevD011012+2020:270:00
E. LindellD0002060022:340:00
M. HeiskanenD000212-11221:212:17
R. SuterD0000320020:270:13
N. LundkvistD000011+109:300:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Oettinger21192.90560:00Win
S. Wedgewood000–0:00