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Game Recap
BUF2
FinalTue, Feb 27, 2024Every game that night
FLA3

FLA beat BUF 3-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.21 expected goals to 1.72. B. Montour led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1012
FLA2013
  1. 1st 9:25BUFD. CozensPP0.06 xG
  2. 1st 12:54FLAS. Bennett0.13 xG
  3. 1st 15:36FLAM. TkachukPP0.02 xG
  4. 3rd 9:41FLAB. MontourPP0.10 xG
  5. 3rd 12:44BUFT. Thompson0.10 xG

Team Stats

BUFFLA
30Shots on goal37
1.72Expected goals3.21
59Shot attempts61
225v5 shots on goal26
1/4Power play2/5
21Hits41
14Blocked shots11
12Penalty minutes12
8Giveaways10
8Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.72 xGFLA 3.21 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 9:25FLA goal, 12:54FLA goal, 15:36FLA goal, 9:41BUF goal, 12:44

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF28 on goal, 2 scored
FLA35 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW011111+1021:083:42
D. CozensC1014300019:244:12
T. ThompsonC101721+1018:524:38
J. GreenwayLW0111200414:032:31
C. MittelstadtC0000000020:003:51
J. SkinnerLW000110+1019:544:31
J. PeterkaRW000200-1012:392:04
P. KrebsC000210-1012:211:38
Z. BensonLW000001-1411:270:04
Z. GirgensonsC0004310010:380:00
K. OkposoRW0001100010:212:25
E. RobinsonLW000000009:060:00
R. DahlinD011211+1030:496:06
O. PowerD0111220023:351:39
H. JokiharjuD0002120023:320:20
C. CliftonD0000020215:310:00
J. BrysonD0001120214:350:00
E. JohnsonD000121-103:310:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen37343.91959:40Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW112721+1222:014:34
S. ReinhartC011200-1019:004:34
S. BennettC101370+1016:531:40
C. VerhaegheC0111300014:574:34
N. CousinsC011122+1213:270:00
A. BarkovC000331-1019:364:33
K. StenlundC0001200013:370:00
A. LundellC0001100012:591:40
E. LuostarinenC0000110012:570:00
E. RodriguesC000300-1011:101:40
R. LombergLW0000400010:040:00
J. GadjovichLW000050008:150:00
B. MontourD123500+1221:004:34
A. EkbladD000312-1021:291:39
G. ForslingD000421-1020:530:02
N. MikkolaD000132+1219:040:00
D. KulikovD0001310416:400:09
O. Ekman-LarssonD0001200016:351:31
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky30282.93359:38Win
A. Stolarz000–0:00