Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
BUF2
Final/OTSat, Apr 13, 2024Every game that night
FLA3

FLA beat BUF 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.95 expected goals to 1.91. FLA outshot BUF 42 to 29. S. Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 29.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF20002
FLA20013
  1. 1st 2:59BUFT. Jost0.03 xG
  2. 1st 5:02FLAA. Lundell0.05 xG
  3. 1st 8:11FLAK. StenlundSH0.23 xG
  4. 1st 9:48BUFJ. QuinnPP0.40 xG
  5. OT 3:58FLAS. Reinhart0.13 xG

Team Stats

BUFFLA
29Shots on goal42
1.91Expected goals3.95
36Shot attempts85
215v5 shots on goal31
1/2Power play0/3
17Hits26
25Blocked shots6
19Penalty minutes4
13Giveaways12
10Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.91 xGFLA 3.95 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 2:59FLA goal, 5:02FLA goal, 8:11BUF goal, 9:48FLA goal, 3:58

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF27 on goal, 2 scored
FLA40 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. QuinnRW101702-1015:371:42
T. JostC101110+108:550:00
A. TuchRW000522-1222:392:11
J. PeterkaRW000200-2021:292:10
T. ThompsonC000300-1020:192:07
D. CozensC000001-2017:351:44
J. GreenwayLW0001220017:170:00
Z. BensonLW000000-2013:252:03
J. SkinnerLW000220+1012:131:40
Z. GirgensonsC0000000010:500:00
P. KrebsC0001100210:490:00
L. RousekRW000001+109:140:00
O. PowerD0111150027:142:29
H. JokiharjuD011123+1023:500:06
R. DahlinD011345-1023:381:22
B. ByramD0111140022:221:41
J. BrysonD000000-1014:240:00
C. CliftonD000110-11513:150:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen42393.92963:36OT loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC011110+1022:137:23
M. TkachukLW011710+2022:087:28
S. ReinhartC1014100021:297:23
A. LundellC101320+1016:121:36
N. CousinsC011312+1216:000:00
K. StenlundC101202009:260:00
V. TarasenkoRW0004200018:555:14
S. BennettC0003100017:461:33
E. RodriguesC0004100015:141:37
E. LuostarinenC000020+1015:071:31
S. LorentzC000030-109:020:00
K. OkposoRW000110008:350:00
G. ForslingD000211+1028:432:17
B. MontourD0002300027:427:24
N. MikkolaD0002200221:120:03
D. KulikovD000121+1020:430:06
U. BalinskisD0002200016:210:00
O. Ekman-LarssonD000100003:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky29272.93163:58Win
A. Stolarz000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.