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Game Recap
BUF2
FinalMon, Feb 13, 2023Every game that night
LAK5

LAK beat BUF 5-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.51 expected goals to 3.15. V. Arvidsson led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). P. Copley stopped 27 of 29.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0022
LAK0415
  1. 2nd 9:20LAKA. KempeSH0.01 xG
  2. 2nd 12:35LAKA. KaliyevPP0.14 xG
  3. 2nd 18:41LAKS. Walker0.04 xG
  4. 2nd 19:14LAKM. Roy0.06 xG
  5. 3rd 5:14LAKV. ArvidssonPP0.26 xG
  6. 3rd 10:16BUFD. Cozens0.17 xG
  7. 3rd 15:09BUFP. KrebsPP0.16 xG

Team Stats

BUFLAK
29Shots on goal28
3.15Expected goals2.51
60Shot attempts49
255v5 shots on goal20
1/5Power play2/3
17Hits12
10Blocked shots19
6Penalty minutes12
3Giveaways11
6Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.15 xGLAK 2.51 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdLAK goal, 9:20LAK goal, 12:35LAK goal, 18:41LAK goal, 19:14LAK goal, 5:14BUF goal, 10:16BUF goal, 15:09

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF29 on goal, 2 scored
LAK26 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC022110-1017:514:13
V. OlofssonLW022100-1014:293:47
D. CozensC101300+1217:505:59
P. KrebsC101220-1215:593:38
T. ThompsonC000211-1020:355:33
A. TuchRW000301-1020:205:30
J. SkinnerLW0001000020:126:10
K. OkposoRW000310-1018:254:13
Z. GirgensonsC0001210211:040:00
T. JostC000021-1010:200:00
J. QuinnRW0001100010:160:00
R. AsplundC000310-108:510:00
R. DahlinD0005200025:246:13
O. PowerD000001-1022:243:28
H. JokiharjuD000211-1018:200:16
M. SamuelssonD000021+1017:580:00
K. ClagueD000111-1013:260:00
I. LyubushkinD000002-1013:010:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson28235.82159:45Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

LAK Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
V. ArvidssonLW123310+1218:122:28
P. DanaultC033111+1017:432:31
A. KempeRW112420+1016:361:10
B. LizotteC011000+1016:030:00
Q. ByfieldRW0112100013:191:02
A. KaliyevRW101220029:292:25
A. KopitarC0003010018:431:06
K. FialaLW0000010215:440:58
T. MooreLW000210+1015:172:14
A. IafalloLW0000010212:480:00
R. KupariC0001100011:300:00
J. Anderson-DolanC000000007:350:00
S. DurziD0113100020:342:28
M. RoyD1014040019:520:01
S. WalkerD101215+1014:260:00
D. DoughtyD000000+1025:441:07
M. AndersonD0001160222:470:00
A. EdlerD000000+2213:500:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Copley29272.93160:00Win
J. Quick000–0:00