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Game Recap
BUF3
FinalTue, Jan 18, 2022Every game that night
OTT1

BUF beat OTT 3-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.71 expected goals to 3.31. OTT outshot BUF 44 to 32. D. Cozens led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). M. Houser stopped 43 of 44.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1023
OTT0101
  1. 1st 12:07BUFD. Cozens0.08 xG
  2. 2nd 7:44OTTD. BathersonPP0.28 xG
  3. 3rd 10:03BUFM. Jankowski0.21 xG
  4. 3rd 19:20BUFA. TuchEN0.84 xG

Team Stats

BUFOTT
32Shots on goal44
2.71Expected goals3.31
59Shot attempts74
275v5 shots on goal35
0/2Power play1/5
10Hits22
15Blocked shots17
25Penalty minutes9
5Giveaways6
3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.71 xGOTT 3.31 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 12:07OTT goal, 7:44BUF goal, 10:03BUF goal, 19:20

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF30 on goal, 3 scored
OTT44 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW112321+2020:391:52
D. CozensC112400+2016:222:00
M. JankowskiLW101101+1215:490:00
J. SkinnerLW011400+2015:341:52
K. OkposoRW000400+1214:381:18
P. KrebsC0002000214:291:28
V. OlofssonLW000300+1014:100:46
A. BjorkLW0002010013:390:00
C. EakinC0000020012:350:00
R. AsplundC0001000012:270:54
J. HaydenC00001001711:480:00
B. MurrayLW0001100010:560:54
W. ButcherD0111000016:250:54
M. SamuelssonD000113+2022:010:00
M. PysykD000102+1020:470:00
H. JokiharjuD000220+1019:530:00
R. DahlinD000122+1219:321:52
R. HaggD000113+1019:110:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Houser44431.97760:00Win
A. Dell000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. BathersonRW101340-1024:405:36
T. StützleC011521-3222:415:30
J. NorrisC000201-1021:445:49
B. TkachukLW000211-1518:173:50
A. FormentonLW000311-1016:490:00
N. PaulLW0002200015:061:37
T. EnnisRW000120-1011:402:08
Z. SanfordLW0003010011:302:26
A. GaudetteRW000210-2011:272:08
C. TierneyC0002000011:022:08
D. GambrellC0001120010:180:00
A. WatsonLW000242028:580:06
T. ChabotD011611-1030:415:34
A. ZubD000302-2020:500:17
E. BrannstromD000222-1020:332:36
N. HoldenD000212-1016:320:00
J. Bernard-DockerD0002000014:010:00
J. BrownD000101-109:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg31292.93559:37Loss
F. Gustavsson000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDylan Cozens OTT Faces BUF, his team until Mar 20251 G, 1 A, 4 SOG
  • Old teamJosh Norris BUF Faces OTT, his team until Mar 20252 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.