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Game Recap
BUF1
FinalWed, Nov 16, 2022Every game that night
OTT4

OTT beat BUF 4-1, and the chances backed it up: 5.25 expected goals to 3.07. OTT outshot BUF 40 to 30. T. Stützle led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Forsberg stopped 29 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0101
OTT1124
  1. 1st 9:45OTTA. Watson0.04 xG
  2. 2nd 6:41BUFT. ThompsonPP0.11 xG
  3. 2nd 9:57OTTB. TkachukPP0.08 xG
  4. 3rd 14:21OTTA. DeBrincat0.22 xG
  5. 3rd 19:19OTTT. StützleEN0.93 xG

Team Stats

BUFOTT
30Shots on goal40
3.07Expected goals5.25
56Shot attempts56
195v5 shots on goal26
1/8Power play1/5
10Hits27
9Blocked shots19
14Penalty minutes18
13Giveaways15
7Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.07 xGOTT 5.25 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTT goal, 9:45BUF goal, 6:41OTT goal, 9:57OTT goal, 14:21OTT goal, 19:19

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF28 on goal, 1 scored
OTT37 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC101610-2022:257:53
A. TuchRW011101-2221:387:56
V. OlofssonLW000200-2218:217:30
J. SkinnerLW000301-1416:597:50
C. MittelstadtC000200-1016:552:51
D. CozensC0004000016:123:23
J. PeterkaRW0002100215:413:21
V. HinostrozaC0001000212:200:18
P. KrebsC000000-1012:112:57
R. AsplundC000000-1011:220:00
A. BjorkLW000100009:380:00
Z. GirgensonsC000031026:080:00
R. DahlinD011222-2028:228:46
O. PowerD000101-2025:032:51
H. JokiharjuD0002010019:551:00
J. BrysonD000011-1014:430:23
I. LyubushkinD0002110013:250:00
L. PilutD000110-109:030:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie24222.91732:36Loss
C. Anderson15141.93325:33

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. StützleC112101+1218:205:18
A. DeBrincatRW101310+1016:126:31
B. TkachukLW101620+1015:566:27
M. JosephRW011230+1213:530:25
A. WatsonLW101232+1013:330:00
P. KellyC011230+1012:010:00
C. GirouxRW000210+1218:073:49
D. BathersonRW0001100014:565:00
T. MotteC0001100214:110:03
S. PintoC0003000014:052:46
D. GambrellC000100+1012:320:00
D. BrassardC000420+129:421:36
J. SandersonD022425+1024:554:46
N. HoldenD011242+1019:500:00
T. HamonicD011113+2218:260:17
E. BrannstromD000104+2222:373:17
J. Bernard-DockerD0003210012:570:00
J. LarssonD0001110412:330:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg30291.96760:00Win
C. Talbot000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDylan Cozens OTT Faces BUF, his team until Mar 20254 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.