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Game Recap
BUF1
FinalSun, Jan 1, 2023Every game that night
OTT3

OTT beat BUF 3-1, with the chances close: 4.11 expected goals to 3.60. T. Stützle led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Forsberg stopped 33 of 34.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0101
OTT1113
  1. 1st 0:47OTTT. Stützle0.20 xG
  2. 2nd 6:51BUFZ. Girgensons0.15 xG
  3. 2nd 11:45OTTJ. LucchiniPP0.17 xG
  4. 3rd 18:49OTTT. StützleEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

BUFOTT
34Shots on goal33
3.60Expected goals4.11
71Shot attempts50
325v5 shots on goal31
0/3Power play1/1
18Hits33
7Blocked shots18
2Penalty minutes6
6Giveaways5
3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.60 xGOTT 4.11 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTT goal, 0:47BUF goal, 6:51OTT goal, 11:45OTT goal, 18:49

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF34 on goal, 1 scored
OTT33 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
Z. GirgensonsC101110+1015:050:00
A. TuchRW000311-2019:473:16
J. SkinnerLW000310-2019:393:13
T. ThompsonC000200-2018:342:41
D. CozensC000210-1216:422:20
K. OkposoRW000110+1015:240:00
V. OlofssonLW0003010014:531:49
P. KrebsC000220+1014:260:00
C. MittelstadtC0002000013:361:07
J. PeterkaRW0002100012:201:39
T. JostC0003000011:360:00
J. QuinnRW0003200011:331:04
M. SamuelssonD0113200023:410:11
I. LyubushkinD011031+107:450:00
R. DahlinD000211-2029:294:07
O. PowerD000111-1025:150:13
K. ClagueD0001100017:220:00
J. BrysonD0000020012:100:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson32302.93858:57Loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. StützleC202201+1021:211:10
C. GirouxRW022210+2016:570:36
J. LucchiniC1011100013:390:35
D. BrassardC011201007:210:33
A. DeBrincatRW0001300018:491:10
D. BathersonRW000521-1018:091:11
B. TkachukLW000530+1017:271:13
P. KellyC0004500015:300:00
D. GambrellC0001520014:140:00
S. PintoC0002010014:010:36
A. WatsonLW000032009:440:00
M. KastelicC000130008:120:00
T. ChabotD011321+1223:351:30
A. ZubD000012+1023:200:00
T. HamonicD0002110221:580:00
J. SandersonD000113-1021:390:16
N. HoldenD000020+1215:150:00
J. Bernard-DockerD0001030012:490:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg34331.97160:00Win
C. Talbot000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDylan Cozens OTT Faces BUF, his team until Mar 20252 SOG
  • HometownJack Quinn BUF Plays in his hometown3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.