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Game Recap
BUF6
FinalTue, Oct 24, 2023Every game that night
OTT4

BUF beat OTT 6-4 despite fewer good chances: 2.08 expected goals to 3.04. OTT outshot BUF 38 to 24. T. Thompson led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 34 of 38.

Team Stats

BUFOTT
24Shots on goal38
2.08Expected goals3.04
42Shot attempts65
215v5 shots on goal29
1/2Power play1/5
19Hits24
16Blocked shots9
31Penalty minutes27
11Giveaways14
3Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.08 xGOTT 3.04 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 8:06BUF goal, 11:20BUF goal, 4:04OTT goal, 13:14BUF goal, 17:08BUF goal, 18:48OTT goal, 15:35OTT goal, 18:38OTT goal, 18:58

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF23 on goal, 5 scored
OTT38 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC2133010214:551:20
C. MittelstadtC022000+1017:420:59
J. SkinnerLW202600+1017:351:18
A. TuchRW112321+1717:281:19
K. OkposoRW011010+1216:330:00
Z. GirgensonsC101211+1216:210:00
D. CozensC011111+11614:421:16
J. GreenwayLW000012-1016:300:00
P. KrebsC0001000012:070:01
V. OlofssonLW000010+1011:410:59
Z. BensonLW000100-109:490:58
J. PeterkaRW000000008:421:00
R. DahlinD011132-1021:171:16
O. PowerD011100+2019:131:01
C. CliftonD011360+1219:010:03
H. JokiharjuD0112010017:310:00
M. SamuelssonD0000230022:350:00
E. JohnsonD000014+2018:450:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen38344.89559:42Win
E. Comrie000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. JosephRW112200+2014:230:10
V. TarasenkoRW112130+2414:041:49
T. StützleC011310-1024:435:04
J. NorrisC101430-5016:315:24
D. BathersonRW011200-4016:074:26
R. GreigC011230+2014:220:34
C. GirouxRW000100-1022:324:16
B. TkachukLW00065001920:253:35
P. KellyC0003110012:310:00
D. KubalikLW000000-3011:331:39
M. KastelicC000240008:060:00
R. ChartierC000200007:440:00
J. SandersonD0113020026:125:11
T. ChabotD011402+1023:121:41
J. ChychrunD101100-1018:051:47
T. HamonicD011112-1216:230:00
E. BrannstromD000120-1215:530:21
J. Bernard-DockerD000012-1015:120:21
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg18135.72240:00Loss
J. Korpisalo5501.00019:42

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDylan Cozens OTT Faces BUF, his team until Mar 20251 A, 1 SOG
  • Old teamJosh Norris BUF Faces OTT, his team until Mar 20251 G, 4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.