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Game Recap
BUF6
FinalSat, Apr 1, 2023Every game that night
PHI3

BUF beat PHI 6-3, with the chances close: 3.22 expected goals to 3.32. PHI outshot BUF 42 to 29. A. Tuch scored three for BUF. U. Luukkonen stopped 39 of 42.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1416
PHI1113
  1. 1st 16:35PHIM. Frost0.11 xG
  2. 1st 19:50BUFK. Okposo0.02 xG
  3. 2nd 1:25BUFA. Tuch0.22 xG
  4. 2nd 2:40BUFJ. Greenway0.17 xG
  5. 2nd 3:46BUFJ. Skinner0.04 xG
  6. 2nd 16:02BUFA. Tuch0.05 xG
  7. 2nd 16:24PHIM. Frost0.20 xG
  8. 3rd 5:11PHIT. Konecny0.01 xG
  9. 3rd 16:33BUFA. TuchSH0.23 xG

Team Stats

BUFPHI
29Shots on goal42
3.22Expected goals3.32
45Shot attempts72
255v5 shots on goal39
0/3Power play0/2
15Hits20
13Blocked shots7
14Penalty minutes16
6Giveaways8
5Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.22 xGPHI 3.32 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdPHI goal, 16:35BUF goal, 19:50BUF goal, 1:25BUF goal, 2:40BUF goal, 3:46BUF goal, 16:02PHI goal, 16:24PHI goal, 5:11BUF goal, 16:33

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF28 on goal, 6 scored
PHI42 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW303611+4018:512:13
C. MittelstadtC033000+31017:041:54
J. SkinnerLW112700+3015:371:41
P. KrebsC0110000017:471:46
K. OkposoRW1013120017:430:50
J. QuinnRW011101-1014:251:53
J. GreenwayLW101221+1014:241:23
T. JostC011101+109:290:00
Z. GirgensonsC0003210016:020:50
D. CozensC000300-2014:391:47
J. PeterkaRW000100-2012:122:07
V. OlofssonLW000020+1010:571:55
M. SamuelssonD011001+2022:350:07
O. PowerD0110000020:391:58
R. DahlinD011111+3419:481:55
H. JokiharjuD000121-2022:590:11
I. LyubushkinD000023+1016:050:50
R. StillmanD000020+2014:440:50
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen42393.92960:00Win
D. Levi000–0:00

PHI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. FrostC202500-1016:491:56
T. KonecnyRW101510-2021:542:04
N. CatesLW0112100219:302:03
J. FarabeeLW011000-1018:011:54
W. AllisonRW0111100013:430:00
B. LemieuxLW011311009:410:00
O. TippettRW0003100019:041:56
K. HayesRW000501-3016:451:57
S. LaughtonC000120-11216:060:08
J. van RiemsdykLW000111-3013:591:56
N. DeslauriersLW000260+1011:170:00
T. SanheimD0112000017:540:00
R. RistolainenD000120-1018:481:56
I. ProvorovD000111-1218:330:00
C. YorkD000111-2017:571:57
T. DeAngeloD000401-2016:501:59
N. SeelerD0004210015:080:07
J. BraunD000100+1013:110:07
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Sandstrom29236.79360:00Loss
S. Ersson000–0:00