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Game Recap
BUF3
FinalSat, Jan 6, 2024Every game that night
PIT1

BUF beat PIT 3-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.56 expected goals to 3.45. PIT outshot BUF 41 to 32. U. Luukkonen stopped 40 of 41.

Team Stats

BUFPIT
32Shots on goal41
2.56Expected goals3.45
59Shot attempts78
225v5 shots on goal35
0/3Power play1/5
32Hits22
16Blocked shots17
10Penalty minutes6
6Giveaways12
9Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.56 xGPIT 3.45 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 2:53PIT goal, 7:49BUF goal, 15:22

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF27 on goal, 2 scored
PIT40 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC011410+2019:242:19
A. TuchRW101451+2219:062:19
Z. GirgensonsC101120+128:280:00
E. RobinsonLW011210+108:150:00
J. GreenwayLW0001030020:190:25
J. SkinnerLW000300+2017:532:19
C. MittelstadtC0001010016:592:19
D. CozensC0000000014:491:41
Z. BensonLW0001000013:421:41
J. QuinnRW0001210012:421:41
J. PeterkaRW0001000011:121:53
P. KrebsC000142+1010:220:00
R. DahlinD101223+1024:112:51
M. SamuelssonD011143+2222:590:13
C. CliftonD011141+2220:140:03
O. PowerD0003000018:361:36
H. JokiharjuD000140+1217:050:45
E. JohnsonD0004310013:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen41401.97660:00Win
D. Levi000–0:00

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
E. MalkinC0112000020:514:38
R. RakellRW101432-3020:224:20
J. GuentzelC000410-2022:234:38
S. CrosbyC000210-1220:464:36
B. RustRW0004210017:022:04
L. EllerC0002010013:591:48
D. O'ConnorLW0003120013:230:00
N. AcciariC000041-2213:220:00
R. SmithRW0006000013:141:49
J. CarterC0002000012:081:39
J. HarkinsC000200-129:390:00
V. PuustinenRW000120005:310:00
E. KarlssonD011112-3023:114:36
K. LetangD000231-1026:261:49
M. PetterssonD0003130023:180:08
P. JosephD000002-2016:220:00
C. RuhwedelD0002010011:530:00
R. GravesD0001310011:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Jarry32293.90658:18Loss
A. Nedeljkovic000–0:00