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Game Recap
BUF4
FinalSat, Feb 18, 2023Every game that night
SJS2

BUF beat SJS 4-2, with the chances close: 4.00 expected goals to 3.28. A. Tuch led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 33 of 35.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1124
SJS1102
  1. 1st 3:01BUFD. Cozens0.02 xG
  2. 1st 16:49SJSE. Svechnikov0.04 xG
  3. 2nd 6:26BUFO. Power0.14 xG
  4. 2nd 11:57SJSA. Barabanov0.37 xG
  5. 3rd 9:52BUFJ. Skinner0.13 xG
  6. 3rd 18:59BUFA. TuchEN0.91 xG

Team Stats

BUFSJS
31Shots on goal35
4.00Expected goals3.28
59Shot attempts55
265v5 shots on goal29
0/1Power play0/1
12Hits19
9Blocked shots19
4Penalty minutes4
11Giveaways10
12Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 4.00 xGSJS 3.28 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 3:01SJS goal, 16:49BUF goal, 6:26SJS goal, 11:57BUF goal, 9:52BUF goal, 18:59

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF31 on goal, 4 scored
SJS34 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW112301+1017:301:01
J. SkinnerLW1122000014:401:23
T. ThompsonC0115100016:471:23
D. CozensC101100+1013:331:12
P. KrebsC000310+1216:360:37
C. MittelstadtC0003010015:320:37
K. OkposoRW0001200014:390:43
Z. GirgensonsC000200+1014:230:00
J. QuinnRW0000000014:050:00
T. JostC0001000013:350:00
V. OlofssonLW000000+1013:190:48
J. PeterkaRW000300+1012:290:00
R. DahlinD011123+2226:511:23
O. PowerD101301+1023:450:37
M. SamuelssonD000041-1022:230:00
H. JokiharjuD000200+2022:140:16
I. LyubushkinD000122+1016:260:00
K. ClagueD000000-107:130:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen35332.94360:00Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

SJS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarabanovLW101300-1020:181:18
L. CoutureC011143-1019:120:46
S. LorentzC011100+1012:210:00
E. SvechnikovLW101110+1011:080:00
T. MeierRW000212-3219:501:28
T. HertlC000000-3019:281:21
M. EyssimontC0005200015:240:32
K. LabancRW000410-2014:171:02
N. BoninoC000200-1014:100:40
N. GregorLW0003120011:470:02
N. SturmC0001110011:360:00
O. LindblomLW000230+1011:140:00
E. KarlssonD0110110227:171:53
J. MacDonaldD011623-1021:520:39
M. FerraroD000123-1019:510:00
M. BenningD000101-1017:020:00
S. HarringtonD000201+1016:380:12
M. VlasicD000002-1014:510:07
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Kahkonen30273.90057:44Loss
J. Reimer000–0:00