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Game Recap
BUF2
SJS0
BUF beat SJS 2-0, and the chances backed it up: 4.59 expected goals to 2.87. BUF outshot SJS 40 to 23. O. Power led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). J. Zucker had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 1.7. C. Ellis stopped 23 of 23.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| SJS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 2nd 0:50BUFO. Zellweger0.03 xG
- 3rd 19:05BUFZ. BensonEN0.92 xG
Team Stats
BUFSJS
40Shots on goal23
4.59Expected goals2.87
68Shot attempts63
325v5 shots on goal19
0/3Power play0/3
16Hits35
20Blocked shots12
6Penalty minutes6
6Giveaways21
5Takeaways8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
BUF 4.59 xGSJS 2.87 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
BUF Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Benson | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:52 | 2:17 |
| T. Thompson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | 2:45 |
| K. Helenius | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:44 | 0:00 |
| J. Quinn | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:28 | 3:11 |
| N. Ostlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:55 | 3:05 |
| J. Norris | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0:57 |
| J. Doan | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0:46 |
| B. Malenstyn | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0:00 |
| R. McLeod | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 1:12 |
| J. Zucker | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 1:43 |
| T. Kozak | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:14 | 0:03 |
| P. Krebs | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0:00 |
| O. Power | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 24:49 | 0:23 |
| O. Zellweger | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 22:01 | 0:32 |
| R. Dahlin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:19 | 3:39 |
| M. Samuelsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 0 | 24:05 | 0:11 |
| Z. Metsa | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0:00 |
| L. Crevier | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 0:11 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ellis | 23 | 23 | 0 | 1.000 | 59:58 | Win |
| U. Luukkonen | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Celebrini | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 24:59 | 3:37 |
| I. Stenberg | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 20:22 | 3:28 |
| W. Smith | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:20 | 3:24 |
| K. Sherwood | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:02 | 0:46 |
| C. Graf | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0:00 |
| M. Marchment | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 15:37 | 3:25 |
| T. Dellandrea | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0:00 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0:43 |
| M. Misa | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 12:17 | 0:34 |
| Z. Ostapchuk | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0:00 |
| B. Goodrow | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 | 0:00 |
| A. Gaudette | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 10:21 | 0:46 |
| J. Trouba | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:39 | 0:01 |
| D. Nurse | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23:54 | 0:01 |
| D. Orlov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 18:23 | 3:20 |
| S. Dickinson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 | 0:00 |
| M. Kesselring | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0:00 |
| L. Cagnoni | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0:50 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Askarov | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 59:21 | Loss |
| A. Nedeljkovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
BUF
Line 1N. Ostlund14:54J. Quinn15:37J. Doan15:03
Line 2T. Thompson12:35Z. Benson12:59K. Helenius11:40
Line 4B. Malenstyn10:57P. Krebs10:04T. Kozak9:44
Pair 1M. Samuelsson20:03R. Dahlin21:15
Pair 2O. Zellweger19:34O. Power19:04
Pair 3L. Crevier9:00Z. Metsa9:47
SJS
Line 1M. Celebrini18:58I. Stenberg15:53C. Graf13:33
Line 2T. Toffoli12:07K. Sherwood13:02T. Dellandrea12:32
Line 3M. Marchment11:33W. Smith11:04M. Misa11:07
Line 4B. Goodrow8:38A. Gaudette9:33Z. Ostapchuk9:13
Pair 2D. Orlov13:16L. Cagnoni12:39
Pair 3S. Dickinson16:47M. Kesselring14:49
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Prop Results
11 of 22 overs hit (50%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SOG | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.5 | +114 | -125 | 4 | Over |
| BUF T. Thompson | 3.5 | +104 | -125 | 6 | Over |
| BUF J. Quinn | 2.5 | +100 | -105 | 3 | Over |
| BUF R. Dahlin | 2.5 | -125 | +100 | 1 | Under |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.5 | +115 | -125 | 2 | Under |
| BUF Z. Benson | 2.5 | +130 | -160 | 5 | Over |
| SJS C. Graf | 1.5 | +115 | -130 | 1 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 1.5 | -125 | +110 | 3 | Over |
| SJS D. Orlov | 1.5 | +135 | -185 | 1 | Under |
| BUF J. Doan | 1.5 | -120 | +105 | 1 | Under |
| BUF J. Norris | 1.5 | +105 | -135 | 2 | Over |
| SJS J. Trouba | 1.5 | -110 | +105 | 1 | Under |
| BUF J. Zucker | 1.5 | -110 | +100 | 6 | Over |
| BUF K. Helenius | 1.5 | +100 | -145 | 0 | Under |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 1.5 | -130 | +105 | 3 | Over |
| SJS M. Marchment | 1.5 | -155 | +125 | 0 | Under |
| BUF M. Samuelsson | 1.5 | +165 | -190 | 3 | Over |
| BUF N. Ostlund | 1.5 | -110 | -110 | 1 | Under |
| BUF O. Power | 1.5 | +115 | -110 | 1 | Under |
| BUF O. Zellweger | 1.5 | -140 | +115 | 2 | Over |
| BUF R. McLeod | 1.5 | +155 | – | 3 | Over |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 1.5 | -128 | +130 | 1 | Under |
2 of 35 overs hit (6%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | G | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS A. Gaudette | 0.5 | +550 | -1000 | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +1000 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| BUF B. Malenstyn | 0.5 | +1000 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +390 | -550 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +1000 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +700 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Doan | 0.5 | +290 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Norris | 0.5 | +280 | -400 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Quinn | 0.5 | +220 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +1300 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Zucker | 0.5 | +300 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| BUF K. Helenius | 0.5 | +400 | -750 | 0 | Under |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +380 | -650 | 0 | Under |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 0.5 | +1100 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| BUF L. Crevier | 0.5 | +1300 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | +131 | -150 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +1500 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +320 | -400 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +400 | -750 | 0 | Under |
| BUF M. Samuelsson | 0.5 | +800 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| BUF N. Ostlund | 0.5 | +290 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| BUF O. Power | 0.5 | +700 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| BUF O. Zellweger | 0.5 | +800 | -1200 | 1 | Over |
| BUF P. Krebs | 0.5 | +575 | -1000 | 0 | Under |
| BUF R. Dahlin | 0.5 | +340 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| BUF R. McLeod | 0.5 | +450 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +1800 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 0.5 | +700 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| BUF T. Kozak | 0.5 | +850 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| BUF T. Thompson | 0.5 | +150 | -165 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +370 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +220 | -310 | 0 | Under |
| BUF Z. Benson | 0.5 | +235 | -300 | 1 | Over |
| BUF Z. Metsa | 0.5 | +1000 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +1100 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
3 of 34 overs hit (9%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS A. Gaudette | 0.5 | +300 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +650 | – | 0 | Under |
| BUF B. Malenstyn | 0.5 | +600 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +270 | -280 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +270 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +160 | -185 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Doan | 0.5 | +230 | -235 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Norris | 0.5 | +300 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Quinn | 0.5 | +130 | -165 | 0 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +200 | -270 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Zucker | 0.5 | +250 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| BUF K. Helenius | 0.5 | +310 | -325 | 1 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +280 | -325 | 0 | Under |
| BUF L. Crevier | 0.5 | +500 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | -150 | +130 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +425 | -650 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +190 | -200 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +225 | -280 | 0 | Under |
| BUF M. Samuelsson | 0.5 | +260 | -295 | 0 | Under |
| BUF N. Ostlund | 0.5 | +180 | -185 | 0 | Under |
| BUF O. Power | 0.5 | +175 | -230 | 2 | Over |
| BUF O. Zellweger | 0.5 | +250 | -340 | 0 | Under |
| BUF P. Krebs | 0.5 | +380 | – | 0 | Under |
| BUF R. Dahlin | 0.5 | -125 | -105 | 0 | Under |
| BUF R. McLeod | 0.5 | +210 | -235 | 0 | Under |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +550 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 0.5 | +450 | -700 | 0 | Under |
| BUF T. Kozak | 0.5 | +850 | – | 0 | Under |
| BUF T. Thompson | 0.5 | +120 | -140 | 1 | Over |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +215 | -270 | 0 | Under |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +142 | -170 | 0 | Under |
| BUF Z. Benson | 0.5 | +140 | -155 | 0 | Under |
| BUF Z. Metsa | 0.5 | +360 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +700 | – | 0 | Under |
5 of 34 overs hit (15%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | P | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS M. Celebrini | 1.5 | +136 | -160 | 0 | Under |
| SJS A. Gaudette | 0.5 | +175 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +425 | – | 0 | Under |
| BUF B. Malenstyn | 0.5 | +390 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +150 | -165 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +205 | -220 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +130 | -140 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Doan | 0.5 | +105 | -132 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Norris | 0.5 | +125 | -150 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Quinn | 0.5 | -155 | +125 | 0 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +155 | -210 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Zucker | 0.5 | +110 | -135 | 0 | Under |
| BUF K. Helenius | 0.5 | +160 | -175 | 1 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +135 | -160 | 0 | Under |
| BUF L. Crevier | 0.5 | +370 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +330 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | -104 | -120 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +165 | -175 | 0 | Under |
| BUF M. Samuelsson | 0.5 | +190 | -220 | 0 | Under |
| BUF N. Ostlund | 0.5 | -110 | -105 | 0 | Under |
| BUF O. Power | 0.5 | +135 | -170 | 2 | Over |
| BUF O. Zellweger | 0.5 | +175 | -190 | 1 | Over |
| BUF P. Krebs | 0.5 | +210 | – | 0 | Under |
| BUF R. Dahlin | 0.5 | -190 | +155 | 0 | Under |
| BUF R. McLeod | 0.5 | +140 | -155 | 0 | Under |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +425 | -650 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 0.5 | +260 | -370 | 0 | Under |
| BUF T. Kozak | 0.5 | +425 | – | 0 | Under |
| BUF T. Thompson | 0.5 | -200 | +165 | 1 | Over |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +122 | -140 | 0 | Under |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | -148 | +138 | 0 | Under |
| BUF Z. Benson | 0.5 | -145 | +115 | 1 | Over |
| BUF Z. Metsa | 0.5 | +275 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +425 | – | 0 | Under |
0 of 19 overs hit (0%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | PPP | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS A. Gaudette | 0.5 | +500 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +360 | -550 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Doan | 0.5 | +390 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Norris | 0.5 | +380 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Quinn | 0.5 | +210 | -280 | 0 | Under |
| BUF J. Zucker | 0.5 | +360 | -525 | 0 | Under |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +500 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 0.5 | +400 | -1100 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | +135 | -160 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +280 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +500 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| BUF N. Ostlund | 0.5 | +333 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| BUF O. Power | 0.5 | +450 | -625 | 0 | Under |
| BUF R. Dahlin | 0.5 | +220 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| BUF R. McLeod | 0.5 | +400 | -1100 | 0 | Under |
| BUF T. Thompson | 0.5 | +195 | -260 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +390 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +210 | -275 | 0 | Under |
| BUF Z. Benson | 0.5 | +250 | -325 | 0 | Under |
1 of 2 overs hit (50%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF C. Ellis | 25.5 | -105 | -130 | 23 | Under |
| SJS Y. Askarov | 25.5 | +100 | -110 | 38 | Over |
2 of 3 overs hit (67%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | BLK | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS D. Nurse | 1.5 | -130 | -110 | 5 | Over |
| SJS J. Trouba | 1.5 | -175 | +125 | 0 | Under |
| BUF M. Samuelsson | 1.5 | -125 | -110 | 4 | Over |
Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BUF 3.6, SJS 3.1 | BUF 2, SJS 0 |
| Total goals | 6.7 | 2 |
| Shots on goal | BUF 28.5, SJS 27.0 | BUF 40, SJS 23 |
| Win chance | BUF 58% | BUF won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.6 | 4 | 1.26 | 0 | 38% | 0 |
| BUF T. Thompson | 3.4 | 6 | 1.07 | 1 | 41% | 0 |
| BUF J. Quinn | 2.8 | 3 | 0.86 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| BUF R. Dahlin | 2.7 | 1 | 0.94 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| BUF Z. Benson | 2.4 | 5 | 0.86 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.1 | 2 | 0.74 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| BUF J. Doan | 2.1 | 1 | 0.62 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| BUF K. Helenius | 2.0 | 0 | 0.46 | 1 | 18% | 0 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 1.9 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| SJS D. Nurse | 1.9 | 3 | 0.32 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| BUF O. Zellweger | 1.9 | 2 | 0.37 | 1 | 11% | 1 |
| SJS M. Marchment | 1.8 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 1.8 | 3 | 0.43 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SJS C. Graf | 1.8 | 1 | 0.57 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| SJS J. Trouba | 1.7 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| BUF N. Ostlund | 1.7 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| BUF J. Zucker | 1.7 | 6 | 0.55 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| BUF O. Power | 1.7 | 1 | 0.66 | 2 | 14% | 0 |
| SJS I. Stenberg | 1.6 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 1.5 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| BUF J. Norris | 1.5 | 2 | 0.56 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| BUF M. Samuelsson | 1.4 | 3 | 0.51 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| SJS M. Misa | 1.4 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 1.3 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| SJS A. Gaudette | 1.2 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| SJS D. Orlov | 1.1 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| BUF R. McLeod | 1.1 | 3 | 0.55 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 1.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| BUF L. Crevier | 1.0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| BUF P. Krebs | 0.9 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.9 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.8 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| BUF B. Malenstyn | 0.8 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| BUF T. Kozak | 0.7 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| BUF Z. Metsa | 0.6 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.