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Game Recap
BUF3
FinalSat, Nov 5, 2022Every game that night
TBL5

TBL beat BUF 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.46 expected goals to 3.05. N. Kucherov led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). B. Elliott stopped 21 of 24.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1113
TBL1135
  1. 1st 7:07TBLN. Paul0.10 xG
  2. 1st 16:24BUFZ. Girgensons0.15 xG
  3. 2nd 5:05TBLB. PointPP0.18 xG
  4. 2nd 8:34BUFC. MittelstadtPP0.07 xG
  5. 3rd 4:25BUFJ. Skinner0.14 xG
  6. 3rd 7:40TBLB. Hagel0.22 xG
  7. 3rd 15:05TBLN. Perbix0.06 xG
  8. 3rd 19:02TBLN. KucherovEN0.89 xG

Team Stats

BUFTBL
24Shots on goal30
3.05Expected goals4.46
54Shot attempts49
195v5 shots on goal25
1/3Power play1/2
44Hits43
10Blocked shots17
4Penalty minutes6
9Giveaways8
8Takeaways13

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.05 xGTBL 4.46 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdTBL goal, 7:07BUF goal, 16:24TBL goal, 5:05BUF goal, 8:34BUF goal, 4:25TBL goal, 7:40TBL goal, 15:05TBL goal, 19:02

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF24 on goal, 3 scored
TBL30 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW0110300018:112:47
D. CozensC011030-1218:042:27
T. ThompsonC011300-1217:552:51
J. SkinnerLW101720-1017:342:18
K. OkposoRW011360-2017:221:58
C. MittelstadtC101120-2014:062:04
Z. GirgensonsC1011310013:090:00
J. PeterkaRW000100-1016:340:00
V. OlofssonLW000221-1014:471:59
R. AsplundC0002010012:330:00
J. QuinnRW0000100012:272:42
P. KrebsC000010+1010:310:00
O. PowerD022160+1028:144:16
J. BrysonD000133-3026:150:33
I. LyubushkinD000071-2022:140:02
K. ClagueD000112+2021:140:08
L. PilutD0001210010:040:00
C. FitzgeraldD000020-106:090:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie29254.86259:37Loss
C. Anderson000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW134640+4219:562:27
B. HagelLW123511+3019:110:47
B. PointC112310+1018:041:51
S. StamkosC011211-1017:181:47
N. PaulLW1012400017:080:00
A. KillornLW000110-1217:360:56
R. ColtonC0003500011:570:00
V. NamestnikovC000150-1011:441:36
P. BellemareLW000021+1011:410:00
C. PerryRW0002100011:210:52
P. MaroonLW0000410210:490:00
C. KoepkeLW0002300010:240:00
V. HedmanD0111140022:232:05
N. PerbixD101111+2016:490:00
M. SergachevD000102+3024:460:29
E. CernakD0000620021:510:00
I. ColeD0000120019:240:00
H. FleuryD000022-1012:230:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
B. Elliott24213.87560:00Win
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.