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Game Recap
BUF3
Final/OTThu, Feb 29, 2024Every game that night
TBL2

BUF beat TBL 3-2 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 1.61 expected goals to 2.19. R. Dahlin led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 21 of 23.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF10113
TBL11002
  1. 1st 8:12TBLB. PointPP0.21 xG
  2. 1st 10:59BUFA. Tuch0.02 xG
  3. 2nd 17:18TBLM. Chaffee0.08 xG
  4. 3rd 11:33BUFT. ThompsonPP0.05 xG
  5. OT 1:42BUFR. DahlinPP0.17 xG

Team Stats

BUFTBL
23Shots on goal23
1.61Expected goals2.19
52Shot attempts45
165v5 shots on goal22
2/3Power play1/3
31Hits28
11Blocked shots20
6Penalty minutes6
2Giveaways4
10Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.61 xGTBL 2.19 xGGoal

00.511.522.51st2nd3rdOTTBL goal, 8:12BUF goal, 10:59TBL goal, 17:18BUF goal, 11:33BUF goal, 1:42

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF23 on goal, 3 scored
TBL23 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC0110100220:211:23
J. GreenwayLW011421+1218:151:23
A. TuchRW101212+1017:342:15
T. ThompsonC101302+1017:232:41
D. CozensC000230-1016:572:15
E. RobinsonLW0002300015:280:00
Z. GirgensonsC0000300014:250:00
K. OkposoRW0001400013:280:57
J. SkinnerLW0002000013:132:15
Z. BensonLW000100-1212:460:00
J. PeterkaRW000010-1011:570:35
P. KrebsC0000000010:450:00
R. DahlinD1122220027:553:03
O. PowerD0000100024:180:57
H. JokiharjuD0002300018:590:00
C. CliftonD0001530016:280:00
J. BrysonD0000010016:180:00
R. JohnsonD0001200014:400:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen23212.91361:42Win
E. Comrie000–0:00

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW011411-1223:214:22
A. CirelliC011010+1020:102:49
B. PointC101200-1218:363:04
M. ChaffeeRW101133+1012:380:00
B. HagelLW000100-1021:011:32
S. StamkosC0003110018:503:21
N. PaulLW0001500015:521:33
L. GlendeningC0002300014:550:00
T. MotteC0002000014:240:00
C. ShearyLW0001120013:290:00
M. EyssimontC000222+1011:160:45
V. HedmanD011243-1224:113:18
E. CernakD011133+1022:110:18
H. FleuryD000012+1017:110:00
C. de HaanD0001110016:290:00
D. RaddyshD0000020014:520:48
N. PerbixD0000100013:340:00
M. CrozierD000010-109:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy23203.87061:09OT loss
J. Johansson000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.