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Game Recap
BUF4
FinalMon, Mar 13, 2023Every game that night
TOR3

BUF beat TOR 4-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.41 expected goals to 2.28. A. Matthews led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). C. Anderson stopped 25 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0134
TOR0213
  1. 2nd 1:11TORA. Matthews0.15 xG
  2. 2nd 4:13TORC. Jarnkrok0.17 xG
  3. 2nd 14:58BUFJ. Quinn0.04 xG
  4. 3rd 3:39BUFA. Tuch0.16 xG
  5. 3rd 9:39BUFD. Cozens0.19 xG
  6. 3rd 11:19BUFA. TuchPP0.21 xG
  7. 3rd 18:58TORW. Nylander0.09 xG

Team Stats

BUFTOR
29Shots on goal28
3.41Expected goals2.28
54Shot attempts49
235v5 shots on goal21
1/3Power play0/1
24Hits30
10Blocked shots15
2Penalty minutes6
8Giveaways13
18Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.41 xGTOR 2.28 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdTOR goal, 1:11TOR goal, 4:13BUF goal, 14:58BUF goal, 3:39BUF goal, 9:39BUF goal, 11:19TOR goal, 18:58

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF29 on goal, 4 scored
TOR28 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW202530+1020:233:30
D. CozensC1124020015:553:30
J. PeterkaRW022000+2012:561:42
T. ThompsonC011700+1020:563:30
J. SkinnerLW011210+1020:223:30
J. QuinnRW101110+1014:001:38
T. JostC0001000015:420:00
C. MittelstadtC000000+1014:451:42
J. GreenwayLW000012-1013:500:00
Z. GirgensonsC000171-2012:500:00
K. OkposoRW000300-2212:380:00
P. KrebsC000110-208:431:42
O. PowerD022012+2026:311:42
R. StillmanD011000+1012:430:00
H. JokiharjuD000240+2027:000:04
R. DahlinD000122-3021:183:30
I. LyubushkinD0001210015:360:00
J. BrysonD000010-2011:530:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson28253.89360:00Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. MatthewsC123512+3023:201:10
M. MarnerRW022101+2022:301:09
W. NylanderRW1015120222:241:07
C. JarnkrokC1012000012:410:51
A. KerfootC011210-1212:130:50
J. TavaresC000110+1019:401:08
M. BuntingLW0005100016:510:53
N. AcciariC0001500015:190:00
D. KampfC0000100015:160:00
S. LaffertyC000050-2012:590:52
Z. Aston-ReeseLW0002500011:080:00
M. RiellyD0001210018:341:03
T. BrodieD000032+1017:550:00
J. HollD0000130017:190:00
J. McCabeD000221-1015:590:00
T. LiljegrenD000002-1015:580:00
E. GustafssonD0001010014:330:57
M. GiordanoD000010-1213:540:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Murray29254.86256:15Loss
I. Samsonov000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • HometownOwen Power BUF Plays near home (born in Mississauga)2 A, 0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.