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Game Recap
BUF1
Final/OTWed, Mar 6, 2024Every game that night
TOR2

TOR beat BUF 2-1 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.51 expected goals to 2.06. I. Samsonov stopped 24 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF01001
TOR01012
  1. 2nd 2:29TORW. Nylander0.15 xG
  2. 2nd 6:31BUFV. Olofsson0.02 xG
  3. OT 4:20TORA. Matthews0.20 xG

Team Stats

BUFTOR
25Shots on goal27
2.06Expected goals2.51
58Shot attempts46
175v5 shots on goal24
0/2Power play0/1
34Hits38
8Blocked shots17
2Penalty minutes4
14Giveaways15
7Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.06 xGTOR 2.51 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 2:29BUF goal, 6:31TOR goal, 4:20

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF25 on goal, 1 scored
TOR27 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
Z. GirgensonsC011140+1016:440:00
V. OlofssonLW1011100010:200:00
D. CozensC000051-1020:582:54
A. TuchRW0003110019:122:24
T. ThompsonC0002100018:362:39
J. PeterkaRW0000100018:041:21
J. SkinnerLW000100-1017:492:39
J. GreenwayLW0003610017:351:24
E. RobinsonLW0000300016:040:00
K. OkposoRW0004200015:121:34
P. KrebsC000100-1010:491:03
Z. BensonLW000010009:090:00
R. DahlinD0004310227:432:19
O. PowerD0001310027:081:41
H. JokiharjuD000010+1023:100:02
J. BrysonD0000010019:470:00
C. CliftonD000221-1013:470:00
R. JohnsonD000201-109:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen27252.92663:52OT loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. MatthewsC101400+1023:451:12
M. MarnerRW011120+1023:351:10
W. NylanderRW101311+1019:461:13
M. DomiC011010+1014:410:50
T. BertuzziLW011012+1014:101:11
C. JarnkrokC0000200016:490:49
J. TavaresC0003300016:390:46
M. KniesLW0003100015:480:00
B. McMannC0004310014:500:47
D. KampfC000110-109:560:00
N. GregorLW000230-109:020:00
R. ReavesRW000050-107:160:00
M. RiellyD011212+1025:341:05
T. BrodieD0001050022:280:02
T. LiljegrenD0000230421:000:55
I. LyubushkinD000160+1019:340:00
S. BenoitD000242-1018:330:00
W. LagessonD0000210015:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov25241.96064:20Win
J. Woll000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • HometownOwen Power BUF Plays near home (born in Mississauga)1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.