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Game Recap
BUF5
Final/OTTue, Jan 3, 2023Every game that night
WSH4

BUF beat WSH 5-4 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.86 expected goals to 3.07. T. Thompson scored three for BUF. U. Luukkonen stopped 28 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF21115
WSH11204
  1. 1st 10:48BUFA. Tuch0.05 xG
  2. 1st 12:07WSHS. Milano0.09 xG
  3. 1st 17:29BUFT. ThompsonPP0.07 xG
  4. 2nd 5:50BUFT. Thompson0.15 xG
  5. 2nd 16:46WSHA. Ovechkin0.04 xG
  6. 3rd 0:55WSHN. Dowd0.05 xG
  7. 3rd 7:10WSHA. Ovechkin0.18 xG
  8. 3rd 11:42BUFT. Jost0.19 xG
  9. OT 3:00BUFT. Thompson0.26 xG

Team Stats

BUFWSH
29Shots on goal32
2.86Expected goals3.07
53Shot attempts57
235v5 shots on goal29
1/3Power play0/1
21Hits39
10Blocked shots15
2Penalty minutes6
8Giveaways12
5Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.86 xGWSH 3.07 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 10:48WSH goal, 12:07BUF goal, 17:29BUF goal, 5:50WSH goal, 16:46WSH goal, 0:55WSH goal, 7:10BUF goal, 11:42BUF goal, 3:00

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF29 on goal, 5 scored
WSH32 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC314520+2019:564:15
A. TuchRW123401+2018:514:07
J. SkinnerLW011200+1018:263:40
D. CozensC0114300015:532:40
C. MittelstadtC011100-1015:450:27
T. JostC101130-1015:060:00
P. KrebsC000010-1015:130:00
K. OkposoRW000210-1015:070:00
J. QuinnRW000310+1014:330:00
Z. GirgensonsC000120-1013:220:00
V. OlofssonLW000010-2013:060:08
J. PeterkaRW0003100012:380:00
R. DahlinD011002-1027:584:07
O. PowerD011101+1021:440:08
I. LyubushkinD011003+1214:560:00
M. SamuelssonD000141-2022:570:00
K. ClagueD000111-1017:200:00
J. BrysonD000011+1016:300:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen32284.87563:00Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

WSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. OvechkinLW202740+2020:332:00
S. MilanoLW112400+2014:550:00
E. KuznetsovC011420+3221:492:00
C. ShearyLW011230+2016:421:00
A. ManthaRW011110+1015:050:00
N. DowdC101130-1015:010:00
T. OshieRW0002100215:551:00
D. StromeC000100-1015:352:00
M. JohanssonLW000210-1013:450:00
L. EllerC000213-1213:410:00
G. HathawayRW000031-2011:540:00
A. ProtasLW000210-308:440:00
N. JensenD011001-1022:010:00
M. IrwinD0110730016:220:00
T. van RiemsdykD000202+2023:270:00
E. GustafssonD000130+1022:261:00
D. OrlovD000132-1021:571:00
M. FehérváryD0000630017:010:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Kuemper29245.82862:56OT loss
C. Lindgren000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamAlex Tuch WSH Faces BUF, his team until May 20261 G, 2 A, 4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.