Game Recap: CAR 7, CHI 2, April 9, 2026

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Game Recap

CAR7

FinalThu, Apr 9, 2026Every game that night

CHI2

CAR beat CHI 7-2, and the chances backed it up: 2.79 expected goals to 2.00. L. Stankoven led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). A. Frondell had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.1. F. Andersen stopped 23 of 25.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CAR	2	2	3	7
CHI	1	0	1	2

1st 0:19CARS. Walker0.08 xG
1st 10:48CHIA. Frondell0.25 xG
1st 17:10CARL. Stankoven0.10 xG
2nd 4:08CARL. Stankoven0.58 xG
2nd 14:50CARM. Jankowski0.12 xG
3rd 5:47CARK. Miller0.09 xG
3rd 6:09CHIA. Frondell0.08 xG
3rd 8:13CART. Hall0.16 xG
3rd 12:51CARM. Jankowski0.14 xG

Team Stats

CARCHI

22Shots on goal25

2.79Expected goals2.00

51Shot attempts44

215v5 shots on goal22

0/1Power play0/4

14Hits14

10Blocked shots15

10Penalty minutes4

15Giveaways18

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 2.79 xGCHI 2.00 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR19 on goal, 7 scored

CHI25 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Stankoven	C	2	1	3	2	0	1	+1	0	17:44	0:00
W. Carrier	LW	0	3	3	0	1	0	+3	0	10:40	0:00
T. Hall	LW	1	1	2	2	0	0	+1	0	15:07	0:00
M. Jankowski	LW	2	0	2	2	0	1	+2	0	12:23	0:56
J. Blake	RW	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	17:20	0:00
N. Ehlers	LW	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	11:44	0:00
N. Deslauriers	LW	0	1	1	2	4	0	+2	0	9:49	0:00
J. Slavin	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	15:58	0:00
S. Brind'Amour	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:34	0:00
B. Nadeau	LW	0	0	0	1	4	1	+2	2	15:28	0:56
E. Robinson	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:46	0:00
J. Kotkaniemi	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	13:57	0:56
A. Nikishin	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	+3	2	23:22	0:00
S. Walker	D	1	0	1	3	0	0	+3	0	23:06	0:56
K. Miller	D	1	0	1	2	1	0	+3	2	21:05	0:00
S. Gostisbehere	D	0	1	1	2	0	3	+2	0	20:26	0:56
C. Legault	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	16:43	0:00
M. Reilly	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	2	15:35	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
F. Andersen	25	23	2	.920	60:00	Win
B. Bussi	0	0	0	–	0:00

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Frondell	C	2	0	2	5	1	2	+2	0	19:46	4:26
C. Bedard	C	0	0	0	3	0	2	-4	0	19:37	4:55
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	2	18:33	4:16
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-4	0	17:42	3:49
N. Lardis	LW	0	0	0	3	3	0	-4	0	17:17	2:30
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	+2	0	17:13	0:00
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	1	1	2	-2	0	16:39	4:45
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-3	2	15:53	3:07
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-4	0	13:33	2:01
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	13:14	2:37
A. Mangiapane	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	+1	0	9:45	0:00
L. Slaggert	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	9:30	0:00
L. Crevier	D	0	2	2	0	2	0	-1	0	17:12	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	1	1	2	0	2	0	0	17:57	0:00
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-3	0	21:57	2:04
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	-2	0	17:56	0:10
E. Del Mastro	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	16:35	0:00
K. Korchinski	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	16:33	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	22	15	7	.682	59:55	Loss
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

CAR

Line 1L. Stankoven15:52J. Blake16:25T. Hall15:07

Line 2J. Kotkaniemi12:58B. Nadeau12:15N. Ehlers11:41

Line 3E. Robinson11:46J. Slavin13:14S. Brind'Amour11:46

Line 4N. Deslauriers9:25W. Carrier9:40M. Jankowski8:53

Pair 1S. Gostisbehere19:25K. Miller17:55

Pair 2S. Walker17:34A. Nikishin18:29

Pair 3M. Reilly13:15C. Legault13:10

CHI

Line 1T. Bertuzzi14:17I. Mikheyev16:22A. Frondell14:42

Line 2T. Teravainen13:18C. Bedard14:18N. Lardis13:08

Line 3R. Donato11:51F. Nazar11:49A. Burakovsky11:27

Line 4A. Mangiapane9:45R. Greene9:30L. Slaggert8:55

Pair 1S. Rinzel19:08W. Kaiser15:56

Pair 2A. Vlasic17:01L. Crevier16:11

Pair 3E. Mastro16:08K. Korchinski15:04

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamTaylor Hall CAR Faces CHI, his team until Jan 20251 G, 1 A, 2 SOG
Old teamTeuvo Teravainen CHI Faces CAR, his team until May 20241 SOG
BirthdayRyan Donato CHI Turns 30 that day0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	CAR 3.8, CHI 2.6	CAR 7, CHI 2
Total goals	6.4	9
Shots on goal	CAR 34.3, CHI 21.7	CAR 22, CHI 25
Win chance	CAR 68%	CAR won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CAR N. Ehlers	2.7	0	0.88	1	29%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.7	3	0.99	0	29%	0
CAR L. Stankoven	2.3	2	0.55	3	22%	2
CAR J. Blake	2.2	0	0.62	1	23%	0
CHI A. Frondell	2.1	5	0.72	2	20%	2
CHI F. Nazar	2.1	1	0.72	0	23%	0
CAR S. Walker	2.0	3	0.32	1	9%	1
CAR T. Hall	2.0	2	0.65	2	22%	1
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.9	1	0.77	0	30%	0
CAR S. Gostisbehere	1.8	2	0.62	1	13%	0
CAR B. Nadeau	1.6	1	0.33	0	15%	0
CAR A. Nikishin	1.5	0	0.40	1	12%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.5	0	0.49	0	21%	0
CAR K. Miller	1.5	2	0.42	1	9%	1
CHI R. Donato	1.4	0	0.47	0	20%	0
CHI N. Lardis	1.3	3	0.39	0	18%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.3	1	0.27	0	5%	0
CAR M. Reilly	1.3	3	0.20	0	4%	0
CAR E. Robinson	1.2	1	0.29	0	13%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.2	0	0.24	2	6%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.2	2	0.36	0	13%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.2	1	0.62	0	20%	0
CAR W. Carrier	1.1	0	0.21	3	11%	0
CAR J. Kotkaniemi	1.1	1	0.29	0	11%	0
CAR C. Legault	1.1	1	0.22	0	6%	0
CAR J. Slavin	1.1	0	0.19	0	11%	0
CAR M. Jankowski	1.0	2	0.28	2	13%	2
CHI A. Burakovsky	0.9	1	0.38	0	13%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	0.9	1	0.22	0	6%	0
CHI A. Mangiapane	0.9	1	0.30	0	14%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	0.8	2	0.24	1	3%	0
CAR N. Deslauriers	0.8	2	0.11	1	6%	0
CHI L. Slaggert	0.8	1	0.17	0	7%	0
CHI K. Korchinski	0.6	1	0.11	0	3%	0
CHI E. Mastro	0.6	1	0.13	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.