Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
CAR3
Final/OTTue, Mar 1, 2022Every game that night
DET4

DET beat CAR 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.70 expected goals to 3.08. DET outshot CAR 41 to 30. A. Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
CAR10203
DET01214
  1. 1st 13:02CARS. AhoPP0.17 xG
  2. 2nd 12:00DETC. Rowney0.13 xG
  3. 3rd 2:45DETM. Rasmussen0.07 xG
  4. 3rd 7:06CARJ. Fast0.09 xG
  5. 3rd 16:12CARJ. Staal0.13 xG
  6. 3rd 16:50DETD. Larkin0.19 xG
  7. OT 4:52DETL. RaymondPP0.31 xG

Team Stats

CARDET
30Shots on goal41
3.08Expected goals4.70
49Shot attempts60
285v5 shots on goal30
1/2Power play1/4
18Hits19
13Blocked shots11
6Penalty minutes4
4Giveaways8
4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.08 xGDET 4.70 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 13:02DET goal, 12:00DET goal, 2:45CAR goal, 7:06CAR goal, 16:12DET goal, 16:50DET goal, 4:52

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR30 on goal, 3 scored
DET41 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
V. TrocheckC0110100022:441:36
S. AhoC101400-1221:001:36
T. TeravainenC0114000020:201:36
J. StaalC101112+1015:450:00
J. FastRW1012100014:570:12
N. NiederreiterRW0112200013:110:26
A. SvechnikovRW0002200018:181:36
J. MartinookLW0003310015:140:00
S. JarvisRW0000200012:570:38
M. NecasC000021-1012:490:38
J. KotkaniemiC000210-108:460:38
S. LorentzC000010-108:210:00
B. PesceD011102+1227:270:00
B. SkjeiD0113010222:170:00
J. SlavinD0002020027:101:48
E. BearD000001-1020:070:26
I. ColeD000112-1016:270:00
J. ChatfieldD000311-1010:440:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta41374.90264:52OT loss
F. Andersen000–0:00

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. LarkinC1014100221:514:54
L. RaymondLW1016200021:364:50
T. BertuzziLW0115100021:074:54
C. RowneyC101110-1014:230:04
A. ErneLW011110+1013:592:41
S. GagnerC0113100013:500:00
F. ZadinaRW011201+1013:222:41
M. RasmussenC101121+1010:520:00
P. SuterC0005000018:142:49
R. FabbriC000410-1016:343:15
V. NamestnikovC000140+1014:230:00
J. VelenoC000110+1012:320:04
M. SeiderD011225+1025:094:50
J. OesterleD011002+2018:080:00
F. HronekD000211+1021:512:49
N. LeddyD0002100021:352:41
M. StaalD000001-1217:550:04
T. StecherD000100-1017:110:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Nedeljkovic30273.90064:21Win
T. Greiss000–0:00