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Game Recap
CAR2
FinalSat, May 24, 2025PlayoffsEvery game that night
FLA6

FLA beat CAR 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.35 expected goals to 1.53. A. Barkov led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). S. Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR0112
FLA1056
  1. 1st 12:07FLAN. Mikkola0.04 xG
  2. 2nd 14:51CARL. StankovenPP0.11 xG
  3. 3rd 1:29FLAJ. Boqvist0.19 xG
  4. 3rd 6:26FLAN. Mikkola0.05 xG
  5. 3rd 6:55FLAA. Barkov0.24 xG
  6. 3rd 9:31FLAA. Barkov0.23 xG
  7. 3rd 10:37FLAB. Marchand0.12 xG
  8. 3rd 11:01CARS. JarvisPP0.18 xG

Team Stats

CARFLA
25Shots on goal28
1.53Expected goals3.35
61Shot attempts61
185v5 shots on goal23
2/4Power play0/4
43Hits60
12Blocked shots17
20Penalty minutes45
15Giveaways19
4Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 1.53 xGFLA 3.35 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdFLA goal, 12:07CAR goal, 14:51FLA goal, 1:29FLA goal, 6:26FLA goal, 6:55FLA goal, 9:31FLA goal, 10:37CAR goal, 11:01

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR24 on goal, 2 scored
FLA28 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
L. StankovenC112400-2015:573:06
S. AhoC011210-3218:524:30
S. JarvisRW101121-2017:054:42
J. KotkaniemiC011140-1215:252:22
J. MartinookLW000110-2017:070:00
T. HallLW000200-4015:591:56
A. SvechnikovRW000040-11415:484:38
J. StaalC000260-2015:040:00
J. BlakeRW0001100213:032:31
M. JankowskiLW0000310011:201:01
W. CarrierLW0002610010:370:16
E. RobinsonLW000031-1010:190:14
B. BurnsD0111000023:142:02
J. SlavinD0001230021:360:00
D. OrlovD000134-4020:200:00
A. NikishinD000150-4018:540:05
S. GostisbehereD000410-2017:514:50
S. MorrowD000111-2013:292:07
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Kochetkov28226.78660:00Loss
F. Andersen000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC213302+4017:113:42
J. BoqvistC123130+4015:080:05
E. RodriguesC022021+3020:203:48
M. TkachukLW022551+21217:255:30
B. MarchandLW101211+1016:442:08
S. BennettC011360+11415:312:09
A. LundellC011213+1015:140:00
C. VerhaegheC000200+2016:532:40
T. NosekLW0000500014:330:16
J. GadjovichLW0001900210:470:16
A. GreerLW0002520010:160:16
E. LuostarinenC0000100153:300:00
N. MikkolaD202350+2015:090:00
A. EkbladD011144+1022:273:11
G. ForslingD000211+2222:510:19
S. JonesD000042+3022:443:22
D. KulikovD000150+2017:410:16
N. SchmidtD000030+2016:522:42
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky25232.92060:00Win
V. Vanecek000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.