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Game Recap
CAR3
FinalMon, May 26, 2025PlayoffsEvery game that night
FLA0

CAR beat FLA 3-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.82 expected goals to 1.36. CAR outshot FLA 28 to 20. F. Andersen stopped 20 of 20.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR0123
FLA0000
  1. 2nd 10:45CARL. Stankoven0.05 xG
  2. 3rd 17:49CARS. AhoEN0.96 xG
  3. 3rd 18:15CARJ. StaalEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

CARFLA
28Shots on goal20
3.82Expected goals1.36
60Shot attempts50
215v5 shots on goal15
0/3Power play0/4
37Hits52
14Blocked shots13
12Penalty minutes20
17Giveaways15
4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.82 xGFLA 1.36 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdCAR goal, 10:45CAR goal, 17:49CAR goal, 18:15

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR28 on goal, 3 scored
FLA20 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC101710+1021:461:53
S. JarvisRW011152+1018:261:45
J. StaalC101132+2215:500:13
L. StankovenC101211+2215:482:15
A. SvechnikovRW011220+1014:191:46
J. MartinookLW000041+2016:180:00
W. CarrierLW0002410011:340:36
J. KotkaniemiC0002200011:341:54
T. HallLW0002100011:312:14
J. BlakeRW0002100411:192:21
M. JankowskiLW0000100011:050:36
E. RobinsonLW0002200010:460:36
B. BurnsD011210+1224:451:51
A. NikishinD0110510218:530:36
J. SlavinD000124+3028:000:00
D. OrlovD000121+2021:400:00
S. GostisbehereD0001010015:532:09
S. MorrowD000000008:332:15
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen202001.00060:00Win
P. Kochetkov000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW000221-2219:357:07
S. BennettC000141-2019:234:16
A. BarkovC000110-3019:163:44
C. VerhaegheC000120-1019:074:04
B. MarchandLW000110-2017:274:12
E. RodriguesC000340-1017:023:43
A. LundellC0002100014:170:16
E. LuostarinenC0000420013:220:00
J. BoqvistC000040-1012:310:15
T. NosekLW000140009:100:00
N. SturmC000030007:000:00
J. GadjovichLW0000310126:560:00
A. EkbladD0001510023:274:02
G. ForslingD0000330022:490:42
S. JonesD000131-3221:403:59
D. KulikovD000251-1217:160:22
N. SchmidtD000211-1217:123:18
U. BalinskisD0002210014:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky26251.96259:20Loss
V. Vanecek000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.